TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d5c…46c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT9348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+555.5%+$277.82
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$25.15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+601.8%+$90.26
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.82
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$236.8
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$33.88
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Coco Gauff vs. Marie Bouzkova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.73
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+82%+$81.96
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rome: Nuria Brancaccio vs Jessica Pieribacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munarbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)backed Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Set 3 Winner: Sinner vs Djokovicbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-48.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Falconsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$103.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.