TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c46,846$28,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,503.444,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Over56c38,695$21,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,593.231050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under46c30,857$14,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,681.561,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…308abacked Over55c21,942$12,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,068.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…6a68backed Over57c13,719$7,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,819.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over23c10,340$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.5284144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under43c10,005$4,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,702.853234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under44c8,293$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.714761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x263c…b2aebacked Over49c7,547$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…c1bbbacked Over20c7,190$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under64c7,038$4,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.062955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under45c5,186$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90012132.2%39 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under43c5,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.972343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over21c4,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30020253.5%108 W · 94 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c4,543$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.753,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed Over1c4,365$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over55c4,317$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,374.2812643.7%55 W · 71 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x298b…f406backed Under39c3,572$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.79887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick45cpaid+105.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354117.1%7 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-49.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c3,227$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.2857839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over15c3,052$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.7915151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under42c2,768$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.276746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over20c2,622$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.381,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over58c2,554$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over14c2,432$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.4822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over59c2,423$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.1520533.7%69 W · 136 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over61c2,401$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.781637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under62c2,156$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.3143250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over14c2,143$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9790%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under45c2,141$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.559956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2209052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,999$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7865356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c1,941$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5861032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under43c1,612$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.993941%16 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under46c1,483$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.8814150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c1,457$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.092,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under71c1,409$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.6213252.3%69 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over56c1,346$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.6211942.9%51 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over22c1,316$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.611618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under43c1,304$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.9513842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under41c1,188$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.045952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5903435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under44c999.94$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.961553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked Over59c994.92$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over22c982.68$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.784450%22 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over18c922.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.9241239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under43c907$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.992268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c834$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.71,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c834$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.71,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under41c815.38$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2969350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over17c806.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over6c757.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.581040%4 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick9cpaid+327.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under38c740.33$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45918745.5%85 W · 102 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under58c735.78$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.415961.6%98 W · 61 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c675.32$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1791,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under65c629.47$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under65c613.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2611251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.065100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under60c584.25$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2227958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Under60c579.3$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over58c578.79$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over21c564.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under39c540.7$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.8313059.2%77 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23025033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c57…a7debacked Under42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over60c497.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5ad…7c42backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over34c391.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under52c380.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.61330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under67c373.92$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9416541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under42c364.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.145949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb52e…285cbacked Over58c344.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+49.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under69c338.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3814643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under44c309.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.083948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under73c308.95$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.71366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9310121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under51c294.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over56c293.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.341250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over12c289.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under76c264.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.573661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c257.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.071,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under46c236.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.553735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under62c230.95$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.544461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Over11c218$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5f…555ebacked Under46c215.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under40c199.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12012358.5%72 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.