TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5839…2c33backed Over49c2,022$984 inLost-$984.145957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over51c1,546$788 inLost-$788.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,256$641 inWon+$614.94,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon+$49049252.6%259 W · 233 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under46c999.96$460 inWon+$539.983435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over33c903.05$298 inLost-$298.011,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under62c781.92$483 inWon+$298.781,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…5d2ebacked Over61c649.59$396 inLost-$396.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c649.59$253 inWon+$396.253,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under67c604.45$405 inWon+$199.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over53c429.92$228 inLost-$227.5825033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c425.8$223 inWon+$202.531,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00c…4a39backed Over52c393.94$205 inLost-$204.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over23c368$85 inLost-$84.6420743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Over53c256.96$137 inLost-$136.992454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c245.71$128 inWon+$117.941,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over33c222.18$73 inLost-$73.3269350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c201.45$103 inWon+$98.7113750.4%69 W · 68 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under51c201.45$103 inWon+$98.7118158.6%106 W · 75 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d32…98c6backed Over47c200$94 inLost-$94650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under79c199.95$158 inWon+$41.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under51c184.2$94 inWon+$90.2613842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over50c159.36$80 inLost-$79.685131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over23c150$35 inLost-$34.510550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under45c140.1$63 inWon+$76.9114626%38 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c113.97$55 inWon+$59.2670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c105.63$51 inWon+$54.611,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c98.61$53 inWon+$45.8141239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe212…0409backed Under48c88.98$43 inWon+$46.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x709b…ae96backed Under49c81.63$40 inWon+$41.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c60.84$31 inWon+$29.8165356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under42c59$25 inWon+$34.2211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Over55c42.21$23 inLost-$23.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under52c42.08$22 inWon+$20.47660.5%46 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under50c40$20 inWon+$203641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over58c39.99$23 inLost-$23.0575751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Over53c20.54$11 inLost-$10.951560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x728f…af82backed Over50c20$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.