La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04846df1c4cc1a302c2bba5ccfb38a895efeb5f94c1acd73ff7b5be1efc2ac6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Málaga CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Málaga CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 6,969$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.91 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Málaga CF | 73c | 3,973$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.79 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Málaga CF | 72c | 1,916$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 16c | 1,740$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Málaga CF | 73c | 1,485$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.71 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 945.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 944.74$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 8c | 782.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 739$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.53 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Málaga CF | 72c | 574.93$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Málaga CF | 79c | 504.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 21c | 488.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 7c | 481$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Málaga CF | 73c | 369.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 12c | 230.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Málaga CF | 79c | 208.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Málaga CF | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…c511backed Málaga CF | 73c | 184.93$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 149.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 26c | 140.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 25c | 127$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 14c | 118.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 103.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 98.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a881backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 23c | 83.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 83.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…653dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 65.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Málaga CF | 72c | 58.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Club Atlético de Madrid | 28c | 51.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…3d69backed Málaga CF | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Málaga CF | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…d1edbacked Málaga CF | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Málaga CF | 74c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Málaga CF | 75c | 24.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Málaga CF | 73c | 22.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Málaga CF | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Málaga CF | 75c | 19.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Málaga CF | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Málaga CF | 72c | 16.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.