TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,228
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,228 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c10,291$2,176 inLost-$2,175.764,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over75c9,111$6,815 inWon+$2,296.3984144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under8c9,100$728 inLost-$7281637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under15c8,297$1,245 inLost-$1,244.523234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Over71c2,116$1,500 inWon+$615.882181%17 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over71c1,690$1,200 inWon+$490.291546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x516a…a2edbacked Under6c1,000$60 inLost-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c35…78abbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$101030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-55.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under5c999.94$50 inLost-$503435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under5c945.32$47 inLost-$47.2712124%29 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under8c813.12$64 inLost-$641428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+69.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Under6c520$30 inLost-$302040%8 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e5…eaa2backed Under6c509.97$30 inLost-$30.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under37c500$185 inLost-$1855554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under25c460.02$115 inLost-$115.0161032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Under5c442.13$22 inLost-$22.131822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under26c404.06$104 inLost-$104.2711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under22c404$88 inLost-$87.8615961.6%98 W · 61 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under26c399.16$103 inLost-$103.3211251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under5c390$20 inLost-$19.513842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under4c358.33$14 inLost-$14.331,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under6c355.03$20 inLost-$19.7511942.9%51 W · 68 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under25c335.97$84 inLost-$84.071,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31bb…64a8backed Under7c280$20 inLost-$19.650%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon+$53.163256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Under30c166.67$50 inLost-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon+$40.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over77c104$81 inWon+$23.448444%37 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5c…1353backed Over78c86$67 inWon+$18.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under19c78$15 inLost-$14.5511253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon+$22.462369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over70c68.8$48 inWon+$20.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under20c61.85$13 inLost-$12.5810756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over79c56.25$44 inWon+$11.811770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under37c54.05$20 inLost-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Under33c51.72$17 inLost-$16.935064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over78c42.41$33 inWon+$9.191883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5009…4d0dbacked Under29c41.55$12 inLost-$12.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over74c30$22 inWon+$7.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over75c20$15 inWon+$5.0544524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Over69c17.2$12 inWon+$5.413086.7%26 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.