TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c26,931$12,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,049.524,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c18,175$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,849.9382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under52c14,822$7,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,771.0198833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c6,170$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.752634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Over80c5,100$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c4,877$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,122.33,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over38c4,029$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under23c3,978$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.0923152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over50c2,925$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over55c2,658$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.244065%26 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over33c1,793$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.511040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over78c1,759$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9432545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over80c1,680$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33612050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under20c1,414$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8711849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under49c1,300$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6345554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under58c1,151$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6653650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1903333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over78c899.85$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.876259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002576%19 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under39c829.24$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under18c818.72$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.375147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over42c799.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4643237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c796.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5469350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over55c790.52$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over50c694.89$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.192236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under26c592.44$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.521533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over38c570.56$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.664663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under38c519.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Under44c513.83$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over80c512$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.412061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under54c476.73$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c441.47$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7439338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over31c427.52$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.997440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under48c422$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.446740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over78c421.27$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3611242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over35c419.09$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.412060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under49c419$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.615260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over50c397.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under59c390.06$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9711251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under48c355.42$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.36944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over47c343.02$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.023452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under49c335.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.169947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under23c312$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.762733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over38c299.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.992924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ad…7c42backed Over59c297.33$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under21c275.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3114425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under47c256.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9527257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under22c246.62$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.263455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe065…df75backed Over34c227.45$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under51c223.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cf…427fbacked Over46c220$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under43c206.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.614261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under48c203.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x715d…a4babacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…e5ddbacked Over33c181.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under45c180.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8214942.3%63 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over65c171.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Under62c170.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over73c165.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.432860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over80c154.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.855131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over44c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over44c144.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.582835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under23c138.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7911054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under50c135$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.55345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over38c114.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over78c113.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.078947.2%42 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c108.75$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c105.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.891,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Under19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under22c100.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2810055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188447.6%40 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.773627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c92.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511053.6%59 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eda…939bbacked Under67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c81.86$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.481,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under38c76.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6090…f0cbbacked Under21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over41c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.483450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…a398backed Over32c71.59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Under71c69.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.