TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,371
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,371 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,744$445 inLost-$445.234,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c842.97$144 inLost-$143.563,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under63c801.93$504 inWon+$298.256259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost-$2003652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c500$85 inLost-$8523232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under62c325.16$202 inWon+$123.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over40c250$100 inLost-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c239.69$146 inWon+$93.4864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c170$111 inWon+$59.51,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdec…7ad6backed Over39c134.77$53 inLost-$52.561020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c118.76$45 inLost-$45.081,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over39c94.31$37 inLost-$36.78540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a1…fb15backed Over39c64.1$25 inLost-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over38c62$24 inLost-$23.565131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over39c51.28$20 inLost-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c47.31$18 inLost-$17.9812460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c36.1$23 inWon+$12.6368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under63c31.74$20 inWon+$11.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over39c30$12 inLost-$11.76445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c22.91$14 inWon+$9.1875451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over56c21$12 inLost-$11.7613642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under63c19.97$13 inWon+$7.396767.2%45 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c16.7$10 inWon+$6.5169750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.