TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,243 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c10,048$502 inLost-$501.593,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over42c3,088$1,303 inLost-$1,302.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over6c1,200$72 inLost-$722240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c1,091$13 inLost-$12.598833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over7c1,005$73 inLost-$73.093915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-52.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c858.06$599 inWon+$258.874,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under77c519.96$400 inWon+$119.892055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under26c498.46$130 inWon+$368.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over12c400$48 inLost-$482924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over72c378.54$272 inLost-$272.31,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under27c329.54$89 inWon+$240.5719133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over4c318.04$14 inLost-$14.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c218.77$55 inWon+$164.21,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d6…6562backed Over46c167.22$77 inLost-$7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9315…afc1backed Over63c157.58$100 inLost-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under37c135.3$50 inWon+$85.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over20c106.97$21 inLost-$21.3144324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Over74c105$78 inLost-$78.151618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under32c87.5$28 inWon+$59.51330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+82.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bbb…4a56backed Under59c54.24$32 inWon+$22.241080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over76c52.63$40 inLost-$402860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under25c51.84$13 inWon+$38.881,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over58c50$29 inLost-$28.97741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Over76c50$38 inLost-$38666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c44.44$11 inWon+$33.3363757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…6a89backed Over75c44.44$33 inLost-$33.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under75c42.64$32 inWon+$10.6527257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over73c37.03$27 inLost-$27.032045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over72c33.75$24 inLost-$24.37741.6%32 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under79c32$25 inWon+$6.8515260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under68c26$18 inWon+$8.2111053.6%59 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under63c20.83$13 inWon+$7.713063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2810…6471backed Over75c20.04$15 inLost-$15.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under71c18.41$13 inWon+$5.334261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under69c15.31$11 inWon+$4.7211154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.