TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,937 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,355$2,869 inLost-$2,868.544,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over45c2,883$1,287 inWon+$1,596.320743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c1,555$695 inWon+$859.4610550.5%53 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under55c1,221$674 inLost-$674.081,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over65c1,002$651 inWon+$350.770050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Over66c910.21$600 inWon+$310.215100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c844.6$287 inLost-$287.173,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c683.23$280 inWon+$403.1341239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over63c255.97$161 inWon+$94.7113059.2%77 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under64c177.62$114 inLost-$114.021,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf04…a3f5backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c144.94$48 inLost-$48.311,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over31c125$39 inWon+$86.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under42c104$43 inLost-$43.315961.6%98 W · 61 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over31c80.65$25 inWon+$55.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+155.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c70.38$44 inLost-$43.7969350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over40c60$24 inWon+$36.117663.1%111 W · 65 L+32.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf830…0454backed Over68c42.31$29 inWon+$13.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Over65c39.99$26 inWon+$141070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under39c38.04$15 inLost-$14.927958.8%164 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c34.13$23 inWon+$11.3244840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over41c33.53$14 inWon+$19.8184939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under41c31$13 inLost-$12.8511253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over66c30.12$20 inWon+$10.245131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under35c28.58$10 inLost-$101838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under35c28.58$10 inLost-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under55c26.86$15 inLost-$14.8811154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under57c26.3$15 inLost-$14.993354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over62c24.76$15 inWon+$9.413641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ae…c600backed Over55c18.65$10 inWon+$8.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.