La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a4a8f8eb337fdc536b6a62ff3659816df23691df061f1bc76f6faa63d2630e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 66c | 6,585$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.61 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 39c | 5,154$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 3,213$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.77 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 35c | 3,062$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.77 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 61c | 2,693$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 35c | 1,862$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.57 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 1,782$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.08 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 35c | 1,532$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over | 2c | 1,357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 9cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 34c | 1,355$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.79 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 1,275$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 1,172$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.06 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 1,104$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.52 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 34c | 1,014$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.83 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 33c | 986.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.58 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 809.92$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.57 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 38c | 720.32$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 534.07$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.86 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 66c | 523.94$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.14 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 512$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 34c | 509.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Under | 62c | 483$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Over | 33c | 433.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 22c | 405.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 34c | 386.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 34c | 356.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 339.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 67c | 328.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 65c | 320.74$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 34c | 275.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 251.18$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Under | 65c | 233.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 201.49$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.25 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 194.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 63c | 185.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 177.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 172.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 25c | 165.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 218 | 31.7%69 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Under | 64c | 155.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 36c | 153.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 37c | 149.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 68c | 132.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 61c | 131$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 98.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Over | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 36c | 75.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Under | 66c | 70.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Under | 66c | 65.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Over | 34c | 65.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 69c | 62.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 36c | 49.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 34c | 46.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e9acbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 31c | 35.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 112 | 36.6%41 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9347…3674backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 35c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Under | 66c | 30.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 65c | 28.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…0e54backed Under | 68c | 25.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…cd73backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 65c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 66c | 17.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 69c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cac…e62ebacked Under | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-2.5)Club Atlético de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.