TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: Club Atlético de Madrid O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0ac…de2abacked Over9c10,000$900 inLost-$90020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c1,425$148 inLost-$148.0939338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over12c1,216$144 inLost-$143.9710251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over41c616.72$251 inLost-$250.9268050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c589.3$43 inLost-$42.691,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under60c323.8$193 inWon+$130.772352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under60c200$120 inWon+$8011364.6%73 W · 40 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c146.41$89 inWon+$57.731,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over38c137.99$52 inLost-$52.4414425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under61c120$73 inWon+$46.82365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over40c99.99$40 inLost-$39.9918653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over37c53.49$20 inLost-$19.7912061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Under62c48.34$30 inWon+$18.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under70c48$34 inWon+$14.2415260.5%92 W · 60 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under71c35$25 inWon+$10.1583640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under76c30.28$23 inWon+$7.1710055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under60c25.88$15 inWon+$10.451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under60c25$15 inWon+$105259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.