TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a1a…f598

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT6524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.8
Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.25
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.07
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.71
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$60.52
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$9.33
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+317.3%+$47.43
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mirassol FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CA Mineiro vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Santos FC vs. CSyD Macará: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.38
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.55
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+257.6%+$2,575.98
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.15
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,009.98
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+223.4%+$1,114.22
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.98
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$546.7
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.25
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$159.15
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.08
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.91
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.26
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.76
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$520.94
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,387.56
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$1,327.96
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$257.91
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$123.13
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.