Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74e99706b2b78d9042e973ffdfade73a3d94a1e0b37152e4e98813c3af71c80a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 77c | 12,286$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.67 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 12,204$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.28 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 5,565$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Under | 79c | 3,146$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.92 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 18c | 2,967$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.12 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Over | 34c | 2,893$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.72 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6daf…a17cbacked Over | 78c | 2,500$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 22c | 2,460$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 24c | 2,119$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.03 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 42c | 2,040$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 19c | 1,861$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 14c | 1,610$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Over | 4c | 1,567$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Over | 24c | 1,540$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 64c | 1,340$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 13c | 1,217$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 995.6$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed Over | 18c | 925$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Under | 69c | 797.32$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 17c | 671.82$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 64c | 642.09$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 19c | 533.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 23c | 527.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 15c | 507.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 21c | 449.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 399.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 389.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 42c | 365.59$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 32c | 290.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f0…18c3backed Over | 39c | 248.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 76c | 248.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Under | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 19c | 211.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 24c | 205.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…157abacked Under | 75c | 194.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 69c | 185.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over | 18c | 175$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7404backed Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…1ddabacked Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 48c | 121.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 111.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…4acbbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed Under | 77c | 89.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 25c | 86.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 25c | 80.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 38c | 78.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb559…d7d5backed Under | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 25c | 72.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 62c | 62.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 52c | 61.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 33c | 60.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…0994backed Over | 25c | 46.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…799ebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Over | 25c | 41.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…bf68backed Under | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 75c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 62c | 33.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 42c | 26.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 77c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Over | 49c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 71c | 18.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Brentford FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.