TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over39c12,415$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,517.084847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under60c10,000$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0501,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c7,678$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.288637.2%32 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c2,518$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.0655751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c2,453$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.526,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under62c1,991$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.939735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under61c1,881$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x793d…ac40backed Over56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c969.25$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c844.93$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.715263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.473043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c700$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4281637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c684.88$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.754,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…da72backed Under60c670.92$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under61c418.56$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.324438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under61c291$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5115547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabe…f1c9backed Over62c280$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over61c269.93$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.016746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under60c199.1$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4614158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under37c165.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.373036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under61c152.46$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c121$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.11,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over32c120$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.63259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c116.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over39c115.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3823220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.315749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under65c63$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9529643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Over77c62.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.092944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c47.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under62c47.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.525757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under35c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.557652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over36c38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3211915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under61c33.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under60c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2414253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52e…a398backed Over63c31.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over62c29.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over40c26.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153324.2%8 W · 25 L-6.8wins-0.21per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under65c23.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.088247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under58c20.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8828456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over64c17.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.