TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfabe…f1c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$285.08
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$293.48
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.38
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$112.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$183.71
Counter-Strike: WBT vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked mellren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$210
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$86.25
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.95
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$108.33
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$48.64
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$878
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,027Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+93.2%+$2,820.85
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+40.9%+$501.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+30.1%+$25.47
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$857.94
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+150%+$30.21
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.74
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$146.9
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$166.6
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.14
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.27
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,718Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,889.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+203%+$243.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$111.19
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,634.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,141.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.