CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66c2c0f53e7ce2e9db0e9f76cb62926ebcd632e023b79fba0b3ec09c16ab7025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB esportof Fingers Crossed, AaB esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Fingers Crossed | 62c | 18,308$11,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,342.82 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked AaB esport | 38c | 5,127$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.98 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Fingers Crossed | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed AaB esport | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked AaB esport | 38c | 1,661$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.53 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked AaB esport | 46c | 1,500$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.99 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked AaB esport | 38c | 1,442$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked AaB esport | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.24 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed AaB esport | 38c | 999.77$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.17 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed AaB esport | 38c | 947.37$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.37 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed AaB esport | 38c | 940.66$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.21 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed AaB esport | 38c | 804.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Fingers Crossed | 65c | 787.33$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AaB esport | 45c | 689.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed AaB esport | 38c | 605.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.45 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked AaB esport | 38c | 555$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.18 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed AaB esport | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Fingers Crossed | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked AaB esport | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Fingers Crossed | 65c | 371.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed AaB esport | 38c | 357.68$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.76 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked AaB esport | 38c | 290$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fingers Crossed | 60c | 287$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked AaB esport | 38c | 286.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed AaB esport | 35c | 286.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fingers Crossed | 73c | 282.53$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Fingers Crossed | 57c | 277.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AaB esport | 38c | 241$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Fingers Crossed | 48c | 187.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 170$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Fingers Crossed | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed AaB esport | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AaB esport | 36c | 132.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Fingers Crossed | 61c | 126.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Fingers Crossed | 63c | 109.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Fingers Crossed | 45c | 108.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked AaB esport | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Fingers Crossed | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked AaB esport | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fingers Crossed | 24c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fingers Crossed | 53c | 80.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed AaB esport | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Fingers Crossed | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…a59bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Fingers Crossed | 64c | 56.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…970dbacked Fingers Crossed | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Fingers Crossed | 47c | 53.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a750backed Fingers Crossed | 62c | 52.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…9b6bbacked AaB esport | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Fingers Crossed | 60c | 50.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…f1c9backed AaB esport | 40c | 50.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed AaB esport | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked AaB esport | 38c | 48.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fingers Crossed | 63c | 41.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed AaB esport | 38c | 35.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Fingers Crossed | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed Fingers Crossed | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked AaB esport | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…597dbacked Fingers Crossed | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed AaB esport | 53c | 27.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked AaB esport | 38c | 27.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Fingers Crossed | 53c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Fingers Crossed | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Fingers Crossed | 61c | 18.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport - Map 1 WinnerFingers Crossed won
- Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs AaB esport - Map 2 WinnerAaB esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.