TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde0c…970d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+108.3%+$32.5
Counter-Strike: 33 vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$61.59
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$62.7
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+508.6%+$203.43
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsbacked A One Man Army Esports Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Inside Games vs Gity Meavedronu (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stagebacked Gity Meavedronu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$90.99
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 7 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Asplund vs. Sharaf (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Sharaf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.