CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 33 vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7963816ee88fb055637a487260cea3d05702204e6216b46251009c8608fe62fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof 33, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed 33 | 37c | 1,259$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.6 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 66c | 558.19$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed BIG | 45c | 405$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed BIG | 66c | 350.33$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 33 | 35c | 350$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 33 | 48c | 309.35$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked BIG | 66c | 291.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed BIG | 68c | 214$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed 33 | 31c | 189$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed BIG | 67c | 150.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed 33 | 35c | 138$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked 33 | 31c | 119.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked BIG | 66c | 112.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked 33 | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked 33 | 35c | 104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…74e4backed BIG | 73c | 100.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked BIG | 75c | 100.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BIG | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BIG | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked BIG | 74c | 99.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked 33 | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 33 | 27c | 92.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…970dbacked 33 | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed 33 | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 33 | 34c | 52.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked BIG | 69c | 43.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed 33 | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed 33 | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed BIG | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…b669backed 33 | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed BIG | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c0…db84backed 33 | 70c | 28.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed BIG | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed BIG | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked BIG | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked BIG | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed BIG | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…9fcabacked BIG | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed BIG | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked BIG | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked BIG | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed BIG | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed BIG | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked BIG | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed BIG | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed BIG | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.