TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0367…74e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT6467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$138.3
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs The Last Resort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$33.4
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$59.73
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$31.37
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$71.97
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+85%+$86.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Poppeck vs. Jovan Leka (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Jovan Leka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Vieira vs. Chiassonbacked Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$662.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.