CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff9a230b1dbdcfa344b5e701dc82695c361ed8f5f4c7b9b908d893fd5e819c5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: HOTUof HOTU, Heroic
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $272,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $306,353

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,983 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x73e3…1be9backed Heroic	70c	30,000$21,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,999.98	203	54.2%110 W · 93 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU	30c	24,941$7,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,458.88	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed HOTU	19c	20,141$3,827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,313.85	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	+19.4wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed HOTU	30c	11,651$3,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,172.41	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked HOTU	53c	8,133$4,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,852.13	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked HOTU	50c	8,113$4,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,070.96	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked HOTU	39c	5,238$2,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,195.36	1,011	52.3%529 W · 482 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Heroic	70c	5,000$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked HOTU	44c	4,419$1,947 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,472.42	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed HOTU	29c	4,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,839.96	786	39.4%310 W · 476 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Heroic	70c	3,674$2,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,571.78	224	49.6%111 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Heroic	74c	3,519$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,604.41	27	77.8%21 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	70cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU	45c	2,823$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.25	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Heroic	47c	2,807$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.69	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked HOTU	33c	2,520$824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,696.07	664	46.4%308 W · 356 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic	71c	2,469$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,753	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Heroic	43c	2,456$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.9	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked HOTU	32c	2,300$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,558.44	228	38.6%88 W · 140 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked Heroic	43c	2,281$981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.64	260	46.2%120 W · 140 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked Heroic	55c	2,200$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210	750	56.8%426 W · 324 L	+47.8wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed HOTU	31c	2,182$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,506.13	465	55.1%256 W · 209 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic	46c	2,139$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980.01	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed Heroic	28c	2,074$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.88	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed HOTU	33c	2,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.99	970	40.7%395 W · 575 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked HOTU	58c	1,991$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.15	93	35.5%33 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed HOTU	62c	1,990$1,242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.01	211	35.5%75 W · 136 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Heroic	52c	1,907$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic	40c	1,855$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.9	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed HOTU	30c	1,835$551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,284.5	284	55.6%158 W · 126 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked HOTU	29c	1,801$523 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,278.33	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked HOTU	44c	1,692$745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.21	240	38.3%92 W · 148 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd305…fdfebacked HOTU	60c	1,681$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.89	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Heroic	32c	1,677$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.29	222	41.4%92 W · 130 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed HOTU	41c	1,565$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.73	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Heroic	45c	1,563$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.98	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU	46c	1,560$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.28	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Heroic	62c	1,500$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$930	359	53.2%191 W · 168 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Heroic	46c	1,497$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.83	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Heroic	3c	1,463$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.89	328	32.3%106 W · 222 L	+10.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Heroic	58c	1,462$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.79	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked HOTU	41c	1,445$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$854.94	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Heroic	57c	1,437$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.56	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked HOTU	28c	1,347$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$969.72	138	34.8%48 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked HOTU	45c	1,250$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.08	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Heroic	71c	1,127$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	483	50.9%246 W · 237 L	-20.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31c1…bc19backed Heroic	69c	1,058$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725	159	62.9%100 W · 59 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Heroic	27c	1,036$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.02	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked HOTU	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.23	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed HOTU	30c	1,000$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	317	61.2%194 W · 123 L	+22.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0be0…590abacked Heroic	48c	991.12$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed Heroic	69c	969.61$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$666	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Heroic	72c	950.9$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.65	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed HOTU	30c	899.99$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$632.99	559	41%229 W · 330 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Heroic	38c	894$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.41	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Heroic	65c	860$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.3	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic	46c	856.51$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.94	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed HOTU	31c	814.66$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$562.7	597	55.4%331 W · 266 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed HOTU	48c	808.94$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.65	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2176…b83dbacked Heroic	39c	770.36$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic	63c	761.9$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,163	54.3%631 W · 532 L	-38.8wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed HOTU	53c	750.01$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.5	405	42%170 W · 235 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Heroic	71c	733.8$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521	149	71.8%107 W · 42 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	70cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…0223backed Heroic	55c	733.15$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	238	61.3%146 W · 92 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Heroic	70c	714.99$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.49	558	45.7%255 W · 303 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed HOTU	30c	713.4$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.7	148	46.6%69 W · 79 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Heroic	69c	707.79$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.63	131	47.3%62 W · 69 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed HOTU	54c	700$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Heroic	9c	690$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.3	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed HOTU	73c	634.3$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.89	165	42.4%70 W · 95 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Heroic	51c	630.12$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.28	325	48.3%157 W · 168 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Heroic	24c	608$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.08	573	22.3%128 W · 445 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU	38c	600$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed HOTU	40c	587.5$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.5	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd592…9618backed Heroic	52c	583.1$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.21	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x981f…b897backed Heroic	54c	556.51$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Heroic	45c	533.33$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	266	24.4%65 W · 201 L	-26.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Heroic	43c	532.27$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.31	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Heroic	50c	525.13$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.7	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed HOTU	29c	520.69$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.69	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed HOTU	37c	505.99$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.77	141	51.8%73 W · 68 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked HOTU	43c	502.33$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.33	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Heroic	69c	500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	154	49.4%76 W · 78 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Heroic	71c	500$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355	375	57.3%215 W · 160 L	-16.4wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9929…15a8backed Heroic	64c	500$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	171	63.7%109 W · 62 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed HOTU	40c	500$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.77	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic	62c	499.97$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.98	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked HOTU	33c	494.37$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.41	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e5…cc65backed HOTU	30c	438.4$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.1	223	46.2%103 W · 120 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Heroic	48c	437.32$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.91	758	33.4%253 W · 505 L	-48.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked Heroic	69c	434.39$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	193	57%110 W · 83 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HOTU	30c	431.4$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.92	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Heroic	71c	422.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	225	67.1%151 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Heroic	60c	410.72$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	213	46.9%100 W · 113 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed HOTU	57c	408.78$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.78	90	63.3%57 W · 33 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Heroic	70c	400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	389	54.5%212 W · 177 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked HOTU	30c	400$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Heroic	53c	399.99$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.44	168	50.6%85 W · 83 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2b…cec3backed HOTU	50c	390.24$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.12	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed HOTU	28c	387.97$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.13	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Heroic	68c	385$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.71	200	45%90 W · 110 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event