Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef494589678983304cfac2034a7df02c9fcef0d560582b8e76c01748a8c32e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $160,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 28c | 14,015$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.65 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…2958backed No | 45c | 9,344$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 51c | 8,066$4,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,090.52 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 45c | 7,462$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed No | 48c | 6,592$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +379.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 46c | 6,509$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.75 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 53c | 5,630$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.31 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 77c | 4,126$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 16c | 4,020$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.91 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 51c | 3,548$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.93 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 3,142$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.51 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…6cbfbacked Yes | 56c | 3,115$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 55c | 2,509$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 76c | 2,074$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,766$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 53c | 1,634$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…5bb0backed No | 68c | 1,520$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 32c | 1,271$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.05 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Yes | 53c | 1,214$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 60c | 1,088$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.35 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 50c | 998$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed No | 47c | 940$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 43c | 922.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.31 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 77c | 900$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes | 56c | 892.03$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Yes | 54c | 887.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.47 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 54c | 853.18$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.71 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 45c | 831.83$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 761.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.97 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 53c | 754.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Yes | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 47c | 633.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.12 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…799cbacked No | 49c | 608.16$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…66d6backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…8b1dbacked Yes | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 59c | 595$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.6 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 52c | 579.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 52c | 574.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.44 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…998abacked Yes | 52c | 510.46$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 56c | 499.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 49c | 486$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 56c | 471.11$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed No | 63c | 447.89$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.17 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 49c | 443.49$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…8f96backed Yes | 49c | 443.27$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 51c | 414.88$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 56c | 409.03$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 28c | 408.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…3a25backed Yes | 70c | 402.41$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…e8f9backed Yes | 51c | 390.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Yes | 53c | 376.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…9c89backed Yes | 56c | 367.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…c4e4backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Yes | 52c | 328.85$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 22c | 318.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…4c09backed No | 57c | 305.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 26c | 302.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…0661backed No | 48c | 301.93$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…3267backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…cefebacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…846cbacked Yes | 48c | 293.35$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…d2e6backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d5…a3d0backed Yes | 43c | 268.77$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…b53dbacked Yes | 77c | 259.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…e91ebacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 79c | 254.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e24…b99cbacked Yes | 77c | 252.49$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 23c | 235.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c252backed Yes | 52c | 233.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 76c | 233.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 19c | 230$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…2093backed No | 29c | 230$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb179…d584backed Yes | 47c | 225$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…0e3abacked Yes | 44c | 224.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 56c | 222$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.