TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,227

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2863…0e3ebacked Yes32c20,331$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.963333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No68c15,311$10,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.565959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes10c9,483$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes31c6,543$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.2479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x834e…8015backed No68c4,456$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.833855.3%21 W · 17 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+102.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No69c4,382$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.525653.6%30 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No75c4,355$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.752450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Yes25c3,441$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2140%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No73c2,951$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.5740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459c…2958backed No69c2,277$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56013547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0583…054dbacked Yes27c1,907$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No72c1,650$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.737841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x811e…8733backed Yes26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c1,388$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Yes34c1,297$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.123122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No72c1,090$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No75c1,002$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.65959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No76c1,000$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0221153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed No70c852.13$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1315461%94 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes26c799.98$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9915337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x766e…c49cbacked Yes10c735.93$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc206…e084backed No74c729.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-73%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Yes28c706.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7036…cbb9backed No76c669.71$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e59…3267backed No76c620$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503020%6 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-46.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes12c589.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.72828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No75c498.92$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7322744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c497.98$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7156158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c441.37$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Yes24c416.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Yes22c400$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868149.4%40 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739d…cf47backed Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…1310backed Yes28c377.58$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No67c372.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.073762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fc…cff4backed No68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x396d…2fd2backed Yes30c347.06$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No68c341.02$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6937652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd715…e8f9backed Yes9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69f0…c4e4backed Yes10c305.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8129653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8802…f468backed Yes9c294.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.521060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No72c266$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9860557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed No77c261.69$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.198155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No72c225$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6314450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d2…92ecbacked No67c220$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…6ad0backed Yes33c220$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes32c218.79$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0117945.8%82 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No74c211.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6805…405abacked Yes33c210$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9702…df1ebacked No67c210$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a99…96eabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7890…8a9bbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…07d7backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes34c194.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1832736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5666…7949backed No68c185.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.31855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes27c180$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.418232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x500a…4c72backed Yes34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes26c162.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3766031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3942755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a07…7768backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x98b4…0219backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.811915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff50…de6fbacked No74c137.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6980…a328backed Yes25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33258%2 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-56.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01e3…d649backed Yes27c130.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes25c119.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.785349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de6…4533backed Yes27c110.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86b…81e6backed No75c102$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54654.3%25 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Yes28c101.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412959.7%77 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269150.5%46 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e6b…4d16backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-26.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1329…479bbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b85…4be3backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed No73c99.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f50…214dbacked Yes25c99.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.598752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes33c93.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.734949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked Yes30c78.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ce…e565backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed No76c65.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4210154.5%55 W · 46 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3a9…83febacked No76c62.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.