TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2f1…f229

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT7949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$18.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$40.08
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$11.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$73.51
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15.86
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$29.4
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$11
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$41.08
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36.3
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Everton win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$97.09
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$13.5
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.71
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$18
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.48
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.86
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$21.79
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$32.97
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$73.83
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Reds vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+121%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+56.3%+$17.43
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+123.9%+$136.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$17.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$150.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.