NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf552572fe62e50220f5c328443be1049c1c47b532aeab3241d0f1c911f4f5045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Lakers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,432,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,526,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Lakers | 44c | 114,393$50,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,332.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Timberwolves | 41c | 82,000$33,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,399.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 56c | 67,270$37,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,598.93 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 49c | 63,492$31,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,292.12 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers | 58c | 51,288$29,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,584.5 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 41,940$20,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,314.39 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 44c | 33,180$14,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,566.55 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 30,788$14,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,110.69 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 74c | 30,211$22,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,803.73 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 28,435$15,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,795.8 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lakers | 49c | 26,147$12,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,849.54 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25,530$14,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,450.45 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…9679backed Lakers | 46c | 23,373$10,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 23,264$11,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,822.55 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves | 57c | 22,808$12,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,810.35 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 20,753$11,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,145.88 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Lakers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Lakers | 42c | 19,500$8,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,279.99 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 24c | 15,158$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,493.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 14,733$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.36 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers | 43c | 14,646$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.6 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Lakers | 50c | 13,310$6,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,711.09 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers | 44c | 13,170$5,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lakers | 48c | 13,054$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.78 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Lakers | 60c | 12,774$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,638.89 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Lakers | 43c | 12,272$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 11,408$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers | 61c | 10,898$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,657.19 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 42c | 10,000$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,816.01 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Lakers | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Lakers | 44c | 9,998$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.25 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Lakers | 54c | 8,842$4,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,812.92 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Timberwolves | 59c | 8,471$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.19 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 8,200$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Timberwolves | 50c | 8,000$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Lakers | 52c | 7,676$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Lakers | 55c | 7,379$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves | 55c | 7,351$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.86 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 7,172$3,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.19 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Lakers | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Timberwolves | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 5,539$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,711.23 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,108$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.82 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 4,823$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.5 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Lakers | 60c | 4,727$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.78 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,698$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.49 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Timberwolves | 54c | 4,272$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.76 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 4,043$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.96 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 4,007$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0e7cbacked Lakers | 46c | 3,478$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 44c | 3,374$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.54 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 3,341$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.83 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lakers | 47c | 3,306$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.02 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…1dafbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 3,244$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,139$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.05 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers | 55c | 3,114$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.42 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Lakers | 42c | 3,078$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…27e8backed Lakers | 43c | 3,075$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Timberwolves | 58c | 2,850$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.92 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Timberwolves | 48c | 2,734$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.44 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,581$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…98ebbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,569$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Timberwolves | 54c | 2,504$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.84 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Lakers | 45c | 2,448$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.6 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers | 46c | 2,438$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.43 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Lakers | 52c | 2,400$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves | 24c | 2,400$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.93 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Lakers | 44c | 2,326$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Timberwolves | 27c | 2,320$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.49 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Lakers | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,263$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.52 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 2,200$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 2,165$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.04 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Lakers | 42c | 2,130$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.2 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43e…0141backed Lakers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Lakers | 62c | 1,919$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.08 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers | 46c | 1,840$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.29 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Lakers | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,719$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.9 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers | 1c | 1,705$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers | 67c | 1,682$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.69 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 52c | 1,643$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Lakers | 45c | 1,499$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.81 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,485$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.85 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Lakers | 45c | 1,482$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.69 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,394$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…d25dbacked Lakers | 44c | 1,390$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.