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NBA · resolved market

Lakers vs. Timberwolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Timberwolvesof Lakers, Timberwolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,432,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,526,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3196…146fbacked Lakers44c114,393$50,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,332.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Timberwolves41c82,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,399.997335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves56c67,270$37,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,598.9328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Lakers49c63,492$31,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,292.1246426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Lakers58c51,288$29,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,584.524831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Timberwolves56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,0006344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves49c41,940$20,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,314.391,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves44c33,180$14,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,566.551,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves48c30,788$14,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,110.6922457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves74c30,211$22,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,803.7370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves55c28,435$15,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,795.896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Lakers49c26,147$12,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,849.5448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Timberwolves55c25,530$14,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,450.4513560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd89…9679backed Lakers46c23,373$10,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,736.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Timberwolves49c23,264$11,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,822.5529957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Timberwolves57c22,808$12,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,810.3536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Timberwolves56c20,753$11,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,145.8820047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Lakers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Lakers42c19,500$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,279.9912657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves24c15,158$3,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,493.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Timberwolves58c14,733$8,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,145.364484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Lakers43c14,646$6,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,234.614434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lakers50c13,310$6,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,711.091,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Lakers44c13,170$5,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,794.787149.3%35 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Lakers48c13,054$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300.785433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers44c13,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,72036748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Lakers60c12,774$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.8910357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d5d…8e9ebacked Lakers43c12,272$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves46c11,408$5,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,172.1470640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Lakers61c10,898$6,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,657.1928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves42c10,000$4,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,816.0180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Lakers45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Lakers45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e38…eb70backed Lakers44c9,998$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.25205%1 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick22cpaid-85.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Lakers54c8,842$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.9223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Timberwolves59c8,471$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,473.195536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves59c8,200$4,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lakers0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Timberwolves50c8,000$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.26454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Lakers52c7,676$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.364050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Lakers55c7,379$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.312240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Timberwolves55c7,351$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.8614052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Timberwolves55c7,172$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.1912938%49 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Lakers41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Timberwolves36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8403036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…261fbacked Timberwolves33c5,539$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,711.2317420.1%35 W · 139 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves49c5,108$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,596.8227546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Timberwolves57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.9922137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Timberwolves46c4,823$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,604.56339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Lakers60c4,727$2,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.7817256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Timberwolves54c4,698$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.4988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Timberwolves54c4,272$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.7610551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves57c4,043$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.9673647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fa…dda8backed Timberwolves56c4,007$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…0e7cbacked Lakers46c3,478$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers44c3,374$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.541,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves56c3,341$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.832,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Lakers47c3,306$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.0237627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1dafbacked Timberwolves57c3,244$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.92450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+221.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Timberwolves54c3,139$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.0520756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Lakers55c3,114$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.4234852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Lakers42c3,078$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…27e8backed Lakers43c3,075$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Timberwolves58c2,850$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.926254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Timberwolves48c2,734$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.448962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Timberwolves57c2,581$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.831844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0642…98ebbacked Lakers51c2,569$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Timberwolves54c2,504$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.846747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Lakers45c2,448$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.69442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Lakers46c2,438$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4336247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Lakers52c2,400$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2595728.1%16 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Timberwolves24c2,400$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.9319419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c59…1862backed Lakers44c2,326$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Timberwolves27c2,320$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.4913731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Lakers44c2,300$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01266153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Timberwolves56c2,263$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.5237734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers44c2,200$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves57c2,200$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Timberwolves55c2,165$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.041,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Lakers42c2,130$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.213636.8%50 W · 86 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Lakers41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82037448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc43e…0141backed Lakers45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900120%0 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Lakers62c1,919$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.0813248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Lakers46c1,840$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.2922039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Lakers42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75616537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Timberwolves57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.398851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Timberwolves36c1,719$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.94841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Lakers1c1,705$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Lakers67c1,682$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.6923646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lakers52c1,643$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.142,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Lakers45c1,499$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.818856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd621…bc07backed Timberwolves59c1,485$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.859555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Lakers45c1,482$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.693243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Timberwolves59c1,400$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57412040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf110…5724backed Timberwolves56c1,394$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.361070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb566…d25dbacked Lakers44c1,390$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.