TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29bf…25b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST3458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,417Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,416.8
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,236Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+61.8%+$764.26
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$32,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32,739.16
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$774
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28,429Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+27%+$7,662.83
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$8,165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$4,021.69
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$427
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,596Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$504
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13,200
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10,800
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12,720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25.8%+$3,280
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14,040
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,906Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$5,494
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10,950Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$4,050
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22,800
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18,900
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,836Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9,299.84
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25,161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150.1%+$37,770.74
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$65.17
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$4,400
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,100
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,680
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20,579Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$8,944.16
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,507Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+84.6%+$1,274.11
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+45%+$397.4
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39.5
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$42.6
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.4%+$938.44
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$796Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+101.1%+$804.46
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,098Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4,602
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$2,900
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,062Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$738
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$2,480
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18,745
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$9,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,300
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$12,200
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,500
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$5,400
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28,125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9,375
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,220.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$8,147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+40.8%+$3,323.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54.81
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$797Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$341.4
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$218.03
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4,200
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,918.84
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$85.9
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,195.85
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21,160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$9,142.77
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,246.51
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,851Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$2,178.67
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5,610
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+34.9%+$18.1
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+26%+$618.64
Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$450
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25,265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+65.2%+$16,472.41
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$15,344.94
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,334.15
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40,967Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$18,458.65
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$795.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,037Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+58.8%+$2,963.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Armybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13,264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+31.3%+$4,148.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.