MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68ef589cde76bca7ace88f9e1048f912e9e1cf0c0e89d89637786ad19d1f45ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Mets, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $825,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $973,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $825,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Dodgers | 59c | 175,856$103,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,145.46 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Mets | 42c | 56,472$23,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,806.84 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Mets | 41c | 51,843$21,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,354.46 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0b…ec02backed Mets | 0c | 43,145$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…c953backed Dodgers | 60c | 31,272$18,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,420.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 46c | 26,226$12,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,074.21 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mets | 70c | 17,846$12,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,540.85 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 41c | 17,751$7,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 33c | 15,531$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 61c | 11,900$7,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.09 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 39c | 11,778$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Dodgers | 60c | 10,358$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,151.72 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Mets | 67c | 10,214$6,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,843.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Dodgers | 57c | 7,853$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.79 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 67c | 6,846$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.61 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Mets | 34c | 6,588$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mets | 41c | 6,468$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.55 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 61c | 6,356$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 41c | 5,954$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.88 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 42c | 5,011$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.62 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 42c | 4,702$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.84 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets | 35c | 4,290$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Mets | 70c | 4,275$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 57c | 4,196$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…33c4backed Mets | 62c | 3,723$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -66%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mets | 29c | 3,064$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.24 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Dodgers | 79c | 3,002$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…fb1fbacked Mets | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Dodgers | 50c | 2,564$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.26 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Mets | 47c | 2,435$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.17 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Dodgers | 29c | 2,381$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.09 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Dodgers | 57c | 2,280$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.4 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Mets | 54c | 2,241$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109a…a540backed Mets | 74c | 2,148$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Mets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mets | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.97 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.91 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 32c | 1,930$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 71c | 1,903$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.38 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 39c | 1,888$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.6 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Mets | 31c | 1,830$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Mets | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Dodgers | 72c | 1,693$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Mets | 41c | 1,654$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.81 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 44c | 1,434$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 65c | 1,355$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.75 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 41c | 1,307$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 32c | 1,298$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.74 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Mets | 53c | 1,294$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.48 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,223$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…e6dabacked Dodgers | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Dodgers | 37c | 1,070$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.38 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Mets | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Mets | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mets | 43c | 999.91$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Mets | 31c | 979.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed Mets | 44c | 932.18$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Mets | 43c | 921$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Dodgers | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Mets | 53c | 852.83$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Mets | 41c | 852$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Dodgers | 59c | 850.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.12 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Dodgers | 37c | 850$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Dodgers | 67c | 819.38$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Dodgers | 50c | 801.89$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.94 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Mets | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Mets | 44c | 777.73$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mets | 17c | 747.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 45c | 722.01$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dodgers | 56c | 718.2$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.66 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Mets | 78c | 708.06$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.57 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Mets | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Mets | 69c | 679.27$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.06 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mets | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 56c | 663.68$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 18c | 646.08$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Dodgers | 61c | 600$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…7720backed Mets | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Mets | 50c | 578.46$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mets | 11c | 572.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 42c | 557.75$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.74 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Mets | 46c | 539.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.88 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mets | 55c | 527.36$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Mets | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…56b8backed Mets | 47c | 495.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 58c | 477.57$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 43c | 470.14$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Mets | 63c | 468.74$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.65 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…3fa1backed Dodgers | 56c | 451.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dodgers | 55c | 450$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Mets | 47c | 437.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Mets | 31c | 418.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 42c | 406.87$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.89 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.