TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa329…26a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+247.3%+$336.35
Astros vs. Guardiansbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+81.1%+$96.57
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$306
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$338
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$374.71
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+88.6%+$478.52
Phillies vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Guardians vs. Yankeesbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$920
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+113.6%+$567.77
Twins vs. Athleticsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+67.3%+$404.04
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,127.66
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+150%+$600
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Brewers vs. Philliesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
Nationals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$527.79
Twins vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+176.6%+$353.11
Yankees vs. Dodgersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,080
Rays vs. Astrosbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$779.17
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.1
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$172.62
Will Brighton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$312
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$584
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$304.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.2
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$737.86
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+160.1%+$912.36
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$391.03
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$73.33
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Everton win on 2025-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,011.11
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-47.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$138.23
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$260.91
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+205.8%+$1,323.34
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$453.56
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$291.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$60.35
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$817
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$2,636.82
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$353.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$203
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.