MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc65f560fe836d2d1c3f9c66ab006d5d1513b443dfc6c7a4df788a118395eab03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Nationals | 55c | 62,525$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,025.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 26,400$16,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,976.38 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 25,923$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,387.23 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 18c | 16,064$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,876.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 15,445$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Diamondbacks | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Diamondbacks | 6c | 7,085$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.73 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 36c | 5,791$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,729.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 50c | 5,583$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.46 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 5,469$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 5,170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 36c | 4,966$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.53 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.32 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Diamondbacks | 0c | 3,934$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 3,335$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 3,328$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 3,018$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.36 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nationals | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.9 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 2,041$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.87 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…0c2cbacked Nationals | 36c | 1,850$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Diamondbacks | 12c | 1,682$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,552$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.14 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Nationals | 36c | 1,491$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 37c | 1,385$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,215$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 37c | 1,152$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.67 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 9c | 1,121$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 1,110$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 1,101$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,075$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 38c | 1,064$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.46 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 4c | 1,015$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…361cbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 942$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 908$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Nationals | 37c | 837.75$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.79 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Nationals | 37c | 792$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 792$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 620$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 37c | 547.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.08 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nationals | 38c | 530.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 530$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 36c | 509.41$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Diamondbacks | 8c | 425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 418.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 36c | 396.11$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nationals | 38c | 368.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.42 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 14c | 344.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Nationals | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 37c | 321.79$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.73 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 13c | 312.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 35c | 300.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Nationals | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Nationals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 22c | 264.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 243.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 233.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Nationals | 38c | 224$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 195.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Nationals | 77c | 187.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 36c | 156.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Diamondbacks | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Diamondbacks | 10c | 112.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Nationals | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Nationals | 36c | 93.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Nationals | 37c | 87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Nationals | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Nationals | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0e…551ebacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 66c | 67.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 37c | 67.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…07f0backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 62.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Nationals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Nationals | 37c | 45.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Nationals | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…1c07backed Nationals | 37c | 40.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 35.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 37c | 33.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…beafbacked Nationals | 36c | 28.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…7b4ebacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5506…3091backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.