TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7c8…24dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
441
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst College Football at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST20557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 205 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$48.42
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$160.42
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+143.9%+$55.07
Eagles vs. Packers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$32.25
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.67
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$47.27
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+67.6%+$36.3
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+73%+$52.75
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39.57
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18.67
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.75
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will Travis hunter only play offense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.7
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Showing 25 of 205 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+178.8%+$37.72
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.75
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.8
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.85
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.75
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$7.37
Guardians vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.09
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.78
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.34
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.08
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$13.25
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.25
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Dodgers vs. Cardinalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.13
Blue Jays vs. Twinsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+106.4%+$28.35
Cubs vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Rangers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$47.66
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.09
Orioles vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.43
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+27.4%+$4.04
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.67
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x400m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$58.72
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 5000m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$32.44
Will Bryce Hoppel (USA) win gold in 800m M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$27.05
Will Emmanuel Wanyonyi (KEN) win gold in 800m M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+400%+$168.8
Will Victor Kiplangat (UGA) win gold in the Men’s Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
Will Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$43.92
Will Karsten Warholm (NOR) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$23.69
Will Marileidy Paulino (DOM) win gold in 400m W? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.38
Will the USA win gold in the Men’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+270.4%+$56.21
Will the USA win gold in the Women’s 4x100m Relay?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked Serbia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$52.1
Will Noah Lyles (USA) win Gold in 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.5
Olympic Basketball: Germany vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$38.54
Will Kirani James (GRN) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Quincy Hall (USA) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$37.95
Will Matthew Hudson-Smith (GBR) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$46.98
Will Muzala Samukonga (ZAM) win gold in the Men’s 400m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.46
Will Gabrielle Thomas (USA) win gold in 200m W?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$33
Will Jakob Ingebrigtsen (NOR) win Gold in 1500m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+122.2%+$81.09
Olympic Basketball: Canada vs. Francebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+67.8%+$33.18
Will Sifan Hassan (NED) win gold in 5000m W?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will Oblique Seville (JAM) win Gold in 100m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will Kate Douglass (USA) win Gold in Women's 200m Breaststroke?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$31.9
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$105.56
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.1
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.26
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.88
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Sashi Esport (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.05
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+253.1%+$39.85
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$15.83
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.92
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$15.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.1
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs RUBY (BO3)backed Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.07
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.8
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+132.6%+$42.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will FaZe win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-52.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
San Diego State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+222.6%+$37.95
California vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.75
North Carolina vs. Californiabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.64
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+28.7%+$174.27
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$389.53
Iowa State vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+110.4%+$64.48
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$53.46
UNLV vs. Boise Statebacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$31.32
Tulane vs. Armybacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10.99
New Mexico vs. Hawai'ibacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$51.37
UTEP vs. New Mexico Statebacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$60.09
Will BYU beat Kansas?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will LSU beat Florida?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Colorado beat Utah?backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$17.29
Will San Diego State beat New Mexico?backed SDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$93.89
Will Iowa beat UCLA?backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$54.67
Will Minnesota beat Illinois?backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$34.05
Will Alabama beat Tennessee by 3 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$31.89
Will Oregon beat Michigan State by 24 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+129.2%+$16.91
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.07
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$24.5
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$58
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$90.57
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$29.4
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$37.46
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+28%+$113.19
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$205.42
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+47.1%+$29.07
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+91.4%+$64.61
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$27.98
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$10.23
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$28.86
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+78.6%+$14.52
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$21.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104%+$63.38
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.37
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.01
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.08
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+229.4%+$55.3
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.13
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.2
Gamrot vs. Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Machado Garry vs. Pratesbacked Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$11.46
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.15
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked O’Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$49.49
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$51
UFC 304: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammadbacked Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.8
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.3
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$12
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.25
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$42.92
Flames vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.4
Hurricanes vs. Sharksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.33
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.97
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.33
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Brazil vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+572.6%+$63.85
Will the match between Turkey and Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+104%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump tweet 10 or more times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.2
Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+26.1%+$88.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+261.4%+$195.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+238.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+238.1%+$40.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+193.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+193.9%+$422.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 11 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+188.8%+$340.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+51.2%+$80.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$266.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.