CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs RUBY (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdff2925423910cc2bb76a4974e122fc9c4dcb8a5ee4bb52759d874424a1c3061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUBYof Zero Tenacity, RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 0c | 13,016$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked RUBY | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 1,422$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed RUBY | 35c | 1,398$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.83 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed RUBY | 37c | 923.22$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.08 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 672.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Zero Tenacity | 2c | 566.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 351.45$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Zero Tenacity | 12c | 227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked RUBY | 44c | 225.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed RUBY | 39c | 105$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 104.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…1e3ebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…8846backed RUBY | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…b5fbbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e6…534abacked RUBY | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed RUBY | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed RUBY | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 84.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…f969backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed RUBY | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked RUBY | 36c | 49.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…53c3backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 47.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0681backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 46.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RUBY | 34c | 34.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…0df6backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 33.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed RUBY | 40c | 32.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed RUBY | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed RUBY | 51c | 24.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked RUBY | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319d…6f66backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 22.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…601abacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.