TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$352,245
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,245 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2131…aaf2backed Hurricanes72c74,556$53,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,893.785253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec65…cf87backed Hurricanes72c52,200$37,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,615.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Hurricanes71c51,680$36,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,987.0714057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks28c46,524$13,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,026.8416743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Sharks29c33,353$9,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,672.374944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sharks28c25,999$7,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,279.7213251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sharks28c19,841$5,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,555.439242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hurricanes69c14,581$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,580.733354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sharks27c10,053$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.428952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee50…7ed6backed Hurricanes73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sharks5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks29c9,500$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7551,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sharks29c8,386$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.8121755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks29c8,288$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.5186649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Sharks29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Sharks29c6,951$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.855950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks29c6,673$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.2357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes77c5,067$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.9485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks28c4,992$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.761,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks28c4,888$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.4751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Sharks30c4,783$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.92642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks17c4,026$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.7858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Sharks28c3,669$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.2493953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks28c3,602$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.232,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Sharks31c3,264$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.6812742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Hurricanes73c2,722$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.985253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Sharks28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Sharks5c2,670$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.484835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sharks1c2,563$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.531895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Sharks30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes80c2,410$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.672,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes69c2,248$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.8497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Hurricanes70c2,075$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Sharks27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sharks28c1,768$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5a3…23d3backed Sharks30c1,656$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a4…f1e8backed Hurricanes71c1,656$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+108.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hurricanes78c1,639$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.0695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes76c1,335$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.671,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks28c1,286$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Sharks32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Sharks28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Sharks28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Sharks31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111c…2ac5backed Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Sharks30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Hurricanes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hurricanes72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Sharks28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…9c77backed Sharks31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Hurricanes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63af…0a25backed Sharks28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Sharks33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Sharks28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks30c999.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Sharks29c999.28$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.798536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks28c893$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Sharks29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23210145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes71c764.79$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7931753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe330…59c0backed Sharks29c749.99$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks31c713.57$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.31,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes73c711$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.971,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hurricanes68c701.8$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5763249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sharks28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19635349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b88…551fbacked Sharks29c699.95$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Sharks29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks25c682.5$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.2789636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks32c666.03$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.131,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f69…23cbbacked Sharks31c660$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20711127%30 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Hurricanes71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17431257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Hurricanes70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Sharks30c556$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ae…24c4backed Sharks28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…9a61backed Hurricanes73c534.25$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sharks29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14521147.4%100 W · 111 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Sharks28c450$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Hurricanes71c402.86$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.835957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks33c394.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.1144848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Sharks34c342.35$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.47938%30 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hurricanes69c339.99$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.418520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Sharks21c338.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.265431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Sharks28c337.36$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4612348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db9…3d33backed Sharks30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Sharks3c329.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde50…cf46backed Sharks30c326.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Hurricanes73c308.22$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2228152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Hurricanes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Hurricanes70c287$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7729345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Sharks28c278.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7820147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Hurricanes69c270$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.813158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hurricanes68c257.13$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2869550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Sharks29c249.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.538744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Hurricanes67c225$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Sharks30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5638046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.