NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bb3fe6053bfdd5f5c2cc373766fae61e393af69f64fb7c702f8e0eff91aa86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sharks | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Hurricanes | 49c | 1,298$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.95 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Sharks | 52c | 615.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 527$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Sharks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Sharks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc7…4fafbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Sharks | 52c | 462$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Sharks | 51c | 408.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Hurricanes | 48c | 204.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Hurricanes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Hurricanes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…2b38backed Hurricanes | 50c | 196.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Hurricanes | 49c | 196.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…6c7cbacked Hurricanes | 52c | 195.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Sharks | 50c | 111.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Hurricanes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Hurricanes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Hurricanes | 50c | 78.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Hurricanes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. SharksHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.