TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6d5…1ccb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,055.31
Browns vs. Patriots: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,011Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+103.5%+$1,046.73
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$530
Vikings vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+100%+$510.5
Texans vs. Seahawks: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+106.3%+$2,233.18
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$540.8
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$499.2
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.39
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$691
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$751Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$648.48
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$753.45
Saints vs. Bears: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$528.75
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$489.12
Patriots vs. Titans: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.68
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$625.58
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$749.13
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$815.85
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$545.85
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$740
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$388.77
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$853Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$254.75
Jaguars vs. Dolphins backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$381.67
Falcons vs. Cowboys backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$596.51
Patriots vs. Giants backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,064Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$500.71
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,108.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$583.61
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$441.12
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.81
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.9
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$573.71
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$273.4
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$634.29
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$864Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$465.23
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$299.45
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$351.67
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$200.11
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.2%+$80.93
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$243.69
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$421.45
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$260.61
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$145.94
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tennessee (-8.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,060
Spread: Tennessee (-9.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,008
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,492Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,491.99
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+94.3%+$490.7
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,019.89
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$925.08
O/U 60.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,000.16
South Alabama vs. Georgia State: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$439.76
Missouri State vs. New Mexico Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,145.99
Spread: Kennesaw State (-3.5)backed Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$616
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.54
Spread: Georgia (-7.5)backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.91
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$783.93
O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.16
San Jose State vs. Utah State: O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.04
Spread: East Carolina (-17.5)backed Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$306.9
Spread: UTEP (-2.5)backed UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$306.9
O/U 57.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$450
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$252.96
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$68.87
Michigan vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$313.98
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+71.6%+$862.09
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+43%+$280.02
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
Stanford vs. Hawaiibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$797.73
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$252.96
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.04
Jets vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$275.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.09
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$196
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$217.69
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$521.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$536.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$300.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,020.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.