MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ab5c85ef8071ec016ae136d16b04f970c25f3f372b06225c55759c3a1584db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Nationals, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 37c | 308,739$114,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,066.86 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 63c | 95,250$60,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,242.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 63c | 80,761$50,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,799.68 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 63c | 49,000$30,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,130 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 63c | 35,242$22,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,044.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 64c | 21,215$13,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,705.76 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 63c | 15,643$9,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,775.56 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 36c | 13,111$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 63c | 9,743$6,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 63c | 7,708$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.85 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 11c | 7,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 40c | 6,174$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.55 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 37c | 5,610$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.56 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Nationals | 38c | 5,343$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.17 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yankees | 63c | 5,196$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.63 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Nationals | 38c | 5,022$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed Nationals | 21c | 4,695$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Yankees | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Nationals | 36c | 3,694$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…4efebacked Yankees | 62c | 3,421$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Yankees | 60c | 3,421$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.56 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yankees | 79c | 3,188$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.54 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 77c | 2,742$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 64c | 2,663$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.78 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 36c | 2,300$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 63c | 1,952$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.27 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 68c | 1,341$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.15 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Yankees | 65c | 1,329$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees | 61c | 1,310$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.85 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 37c | 1,251$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.87 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,250$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 60c | 1,163$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.02 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Yankees | 64c | 1,011$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Nationals | 46c | 997.93$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 38c | 899.95$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 37c | 796$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.52 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yankees | 61c | 770.49$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 39c | 768.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 39c | 716.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yankees | 62c | 673.04$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yankees | 56c | 669$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 42c | 576.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 37c | 550.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nationals | 15c | 550.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 2c | 509.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nationals | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Yankees | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 37c | 483.57$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nationals | 3c | 445.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Yankees | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Yankees | 65c | 353.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 24c | 338$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yankees | 64c | 331.88$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 67c | 323.28$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 55c | 302.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nationals | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 64c | 288.82$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 38c | 263.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 47c | 261.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Nationals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 36c | 255.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 39c | 254.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Yankees | 63c | 250.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…4772backed Nationals | 38c | 250.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Yankees | 61c | 246.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Yankees | 56c | 231.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Yankees | 67c | 224.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Nationals | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 37c | 199.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Yankees | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Nationals | 36c | 177.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Nationals | 17c | 172$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yankees | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yankees | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Yankees | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Yankees | 56c | 132.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 62c | 129$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Nationals | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Yankees | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 60c | 116.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yankees | 65c | 108.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Yankees | 62c | 105.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yankees | 62c | 104.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yankees | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Yankeesthis page
- Nationals vs. Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.