TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x297a…92e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
347
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10241.2%42 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$127.88
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+300.6%+$102.03
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+466.7%+$172.53
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+235%+$116.35
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$113.87
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,046.56
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$605.2
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.33
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.54
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$175.98
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+77.1%+$34
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,092Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+94.8%+$2,931.81
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$211.3
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$41.68
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$142.58
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$58.41
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+122.9%+$759.86
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST7741.6%32 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.8%+$170.32
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$170
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$207.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$175
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+75.8%+$136.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$53
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+318.3%+$387.1
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.47
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.37
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.6%+$34.66
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.22
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$63.96
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$113.87
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+198.4%+$181.91
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+56.1%+$14.59
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.27
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST5735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$181.42
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+99.3%+$909.9
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+103%+$92.29
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$109.4
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$410
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+241.1%+$453.41
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+122.8%+$369.7
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$116
Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$91.99
Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$37.39
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump resign today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$225.48
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.18
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+189.1%+$1,188.95
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.29
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+73%+$73.01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.54
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+904%+$452
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+857.7%+$4,343.65
Will the Progressive Reform Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.54
Will Trzaskowski or Nawrocki win the diaspora vote?backed Nawrocki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.33
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$186.47
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+140%+$70
Will Mark Carney talk to Trump by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$311
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$117.82
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+322.6%+$534.17
All 20 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.1
Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Minnesota" or "ICE" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$34.01
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.1%+$42.05
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$90
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.52
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+148.9%+$47.63
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nationals vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.88
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$111.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
US Open: Jordan Thompson vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$202
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.