TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Tigers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$279,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers54c120,587$65,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,323.0838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics46c39,284$18,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,213.5944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers54c32,101$17,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,454.660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Athletics46c30,000$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,2007147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics51c27,792$14,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,649.442,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Athletics50c17,819$8,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,826.9654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers49c16,194$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics49c15,249$7,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,801.9921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics46c14,618$6,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,893.7235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Athletics46c14,130$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.4319649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics46c10,868$4,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,868.7833554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics45c9,360$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.441,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Athletics47c4,626$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.534153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers55c4,364$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers48c4,069$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.651,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers51c3,899$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers55c3,817$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.3533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers53c3,333$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.4698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics45c3,175$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.0143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics48c2,975$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.876,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics65c2,921$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.6943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Athletics47c2,258$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.8916654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers5c2,186$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Tigers3c1,862$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8657744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023060%138 W · 92 L-1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics45c1,780$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.981,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Tigers7c1,337$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics46c1,150$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.9616349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54c8…84d8backed Athletics46c1,117$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ff…0a9ebacked Tigers54c1,106$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-73%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61c4…f5f2backed Tigers54c1,094$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Athletics54c1,091$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.399,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76de…8945backed Athletics46c1,083$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.82850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers10c1,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Tigers14c959.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.479554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers54c899.99$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Tigers49c899.98$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.9913359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers2c805$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.555053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers51c800$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.8230151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tigers11c787.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0316135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers5c749.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Athletics47c725.32$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Athletics79c637.65$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.960052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics46c599.58$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…23c5backed Athletics59c592.5$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.232055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Tigers44c570.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.158349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Tigers45c554.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.856144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Tigers8c551.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5810713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Tigers55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Athletics56c520.82$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.676443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics45c520$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.291,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics47c504$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.76,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Tigers46c435.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics46c373.9$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.781,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics66c371.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8476456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1257…0379backed Tigers54c362.26$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9c…7aa1backed Athletics47c362.23$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.981668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1891,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17646631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Tigers55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Tigers35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics45c299.66$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.313,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers53c297.03$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.721,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers7c276$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Tigers55c273.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics45c259.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Tigers55c232.27$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.085658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.131347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Athletics52c215$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.26536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Athletics47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7725551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Athletics46c209$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.862,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10854441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Athletics46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ed…82c6backed Tigers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010441.3%43 W · 61 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Athletics45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11073149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfd…4ef4backed Athletics45c188.88$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Tigers38c186.06$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.712025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Tigers55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Tigers50c169.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.844027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d90cbacked Athletics49c164.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.131963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Athletics53c162.81$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3624444.3%108 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac5…d509backed Tigers50c154$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Tigers17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4445732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Tigers26c149.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3233137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Tigers11c141.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.015928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-39.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Athletics47c140.43$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4388549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics47c138$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers47c127.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12c…a8abbacked Tigers54c125.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Tigers55c125.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6910255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Tigers54c122.02$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8943153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics44c117.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.741,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.