TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0a6…d90c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+98%+$58.82
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$173.04
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$80.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$187.76
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.65
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
NRFI: Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$25.06
NRFI: Rays vs. White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Reds vs. Padresbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$73.19
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NRFI: Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$127.78
Blue Jays vs. Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$54.52
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+105.2%+$84.13
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+61.4%+$52.18
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Phillies vs. Metsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
All 19 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.54
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$50.92
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$231.48
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$62.45
Chargers vs. 49ersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Saints backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Bills vs. Bears backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Browns vs. Eagles backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Titans vs. Falcons backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$84.33
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$136.55
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Aces vs. Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Aces vs. Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will Vancouver beat Houston?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.