College Football · resolved market
Northern Illinois vs. Maryland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95558c0e355657db73f1338de0bca1cd77dc8cf36b6ec8ba7e136834639d3c2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marylandof Northern Illinois, Maryland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Northern Illinois | 13c | 22,490$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.66 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 4,912$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.4 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northern Illinois | 6c | 4,812$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Northern Illinois | 13c | 3,092$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Northern Illinois | 12c | 3,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Northern Illinois | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northern Illinois | 10c | 2,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Northern Illinois | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Northern Illinois | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Northern Illinois | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Northern Illinois | 2c | 746.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Illinois | 8c | 604.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Northern Illinois | 14c | 600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 549$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Northern Illinois | 10c | 527.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Northern Illinois | 6c | 415$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Northern Illinois | 8c | 368.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Northern Illinois | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Northern Illinois | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Northern Illinois | 14c | 238.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Northern Illinois | 6c | 233.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northern Illinois | 13c | 231.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Northern Illinois | 14c | 227$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Northern Illinois | 7c | 166.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…2223backed Northern Illinois | 13c | 162.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maryland | 76c | 139.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 133.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Northern Illinois | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Northern Illinois | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…a1d0backed Northern Illinois | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Illinois vs. Marylandthis page
- Northern Illinois vs. Maryland: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Maryland (-17.5)Northern Illinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.