TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. Ruchała

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gomisof Gomis, Ruchała
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Ruchała8c23,487$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.646841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Gomis71c22,305$15,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,468.4414857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Ruchała29c21,046$6,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,103.233740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Ruchała10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Ruchała29c4,300$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2505843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Gomis68c3,152$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.0512262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Ruchała31c2,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3817850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…9d19backed Ruchała34c2,847$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Ruchała13c2,019$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.986142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f6e…7918backed Ruchała33c1,530$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Gomis67c1,500$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4906746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Ruchała18c1,472$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9610522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a95…10b0backed Gomis71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Ruchała28c1,300$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35919531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Ruchała21c1,252$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.528544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Ruchała30c1,175$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.043737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Gomis71c1,048$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5513650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Ruchała23c1,022$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Gomis71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29012052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Ruchała33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Ruchała17c883.97$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2718145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gomis70c835.06$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8118453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Gomis71c812.03$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.492259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82b…eb73backed Ruchała32c803.37$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Gomis65c690.94$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5630964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gomis71c666$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Gomis67c650$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2163151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Gomis69c640$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Gomis68c626.47$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.475550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Gomis67c551.42$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18128743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Gomis70c532.07$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.623545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Ruchała29c499.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.522144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gomis69c499.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Gomis73c478.47$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.35950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Gomis72c462.5$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.52045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Gomis68c441.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.392536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Gomis65c430.71$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.720954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Gomis71c399.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11648749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Gomis73c380$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.439959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Ruchała30c370$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117745.5%35 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d90cbacked Ruchała35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaab…24ddbacked Gomis70c284.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.281573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Ruchała29c281.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.611140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ruchała8c268.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1721031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Gomis68c212.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6737754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Gomis71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2711540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Gomis76c200$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.45362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Gomis75c172.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Ruchała30c170$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Ruchała32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ruchała29c155$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6536655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Gomis71c151.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.012240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd718…3b8fbacked Ruchała35c151.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5f…8812backed Ruchała10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Gomis67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0356450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…a2b4backed Ruchała34c148.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1466…23d9backed Gomis72c147.85$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c79…15dbbacked Gomis73c146.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Gomis69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Ruchała30c144.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Gomis68c138.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9211545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Gomis73c133.15$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3210040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2766…4c94backed Ruchała31c130.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Ruchała32c123$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Gomis79c100.13$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.036060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Ruchała32c100.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3233948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Gomis67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Gomis53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Gomis71c97.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Gomis50c83.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6216955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ruchała31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Ruchała28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Gomis73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Ruchała29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Gomis70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Gomis68c48.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4113647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Ruchała33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb4…24a9backed Ruchała32c43.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Ruchała31c41.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7222342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed Gomis72c41.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.594254.8%23 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Gomis72c41.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.557552%39 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ruchała32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.819418.6%36 W · 158 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Ruchała30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Ruchała30c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.514052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe615…6819backed Ruchała32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015062.7%94 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gomis71c30.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8153956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…d596backed Gomis72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Gomis71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.173256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Gomis73c16.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.447859%46 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Gomis72c15.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2531855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Gomis67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.958932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.