TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jones of Oki , Jones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbad…9c95backed Oki 41c34,470$14,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,131.5719154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Jones 59c19,569$11,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,023.3614857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Oki 49c14,968$7,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.7629151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jones 55c10,587$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.216841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Oki 59c10,375$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,116.8320954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Jones 58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7806451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Oki 42c8,940$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,754.8322259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Jones 59c7,390$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.7217752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Jones 38c4,350$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,693.197841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Oki 20c3,732$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3710522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Oki 8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240342.9%1 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Oki 45c2,652$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jones 47c2,438$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.2710443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Jones 5c2,400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick8cpaid+291.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Jones 55c2,300$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03511140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Jones 31c2,023$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.938544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Jones 4c1,750$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6805012%6 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+272.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Jones 65c1,583$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.282924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Oki 42c1,534$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.2818145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jones 59c1,497$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.755950.8%30 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Oki 41c1,488$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.153545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Jones 56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Oki 42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4206746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Oki 42c999.98$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Jones 57c977.47$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.311662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Jones 55c939.99$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42317850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jones 65c923.41$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3912052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Jones 58c863$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4613044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf838…2aa0backed Jones 59c850$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02dc…ef17backed Oki 43c815.47$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.651258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Oki 41c777$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.5723850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Oki 43c692.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2d8…012abacked Oki 46c639.28$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.633745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jones 57c529$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4718560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Jones 59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oki 41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Oki 45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9925251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Jones 55c499.89$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.7728743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Jones 56c486.31$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.418939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jones 55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6429848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jones 66c358$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7213650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Jones 59c341$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.813740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Jones 59c304.92$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.022045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Oki 60c291.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.236060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Jones 56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.522144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jones 57c230.67$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1918453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4f…86b3backed Jones 54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Oki 44c210.4$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9313647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Oki 43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8623537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Jones 59c199.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Jones 54c192$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3224847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jones 57c182.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Jones 58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oki 24c166.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1921031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Jones 53c164.89$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Oki 46c164.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8511545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2766…4c94backed Oki 61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Jones 56c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.433948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Oki 42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Oki 20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026451.9%137 W · 127 L+23.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a01…0d9abacked Oki 37c146.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557548%36 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jones 59c127$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0714929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc67c…f2dabacked Oki 42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Oki 45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.755455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Oki 45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Jones 59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1715848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Oki 32c109$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.863652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Jones 48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.178143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Jones 58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.459547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…7f8cbacked Oki 10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Oki 44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4414827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Jones 57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Jones 55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4513160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oki 42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9910651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Oki 31c98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.164355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Jones 52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Jones 55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.916243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38eb…a211backed Oki 43c87.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.543663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbef4…dbcdbacked Jones 58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Jones 58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Oki 43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Oki 43c57.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.568220.7%17 W · 65 L-12.6wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Oki 27c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.445736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Jones 58c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Oki 39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8913450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Jones 59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Jones 35c48.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5715839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Jones 62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3910040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Oki 26c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Oki 56c45.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Jones 58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Jones 59c42.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5522342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Oki 41c39.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2351533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Oki 43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9110452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Oki 42c36.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.187859%46 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Jones 60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1416736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Jones 58c34.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4924649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52df…9adfbacked Jones 57c34.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jones 55c33.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0556450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Oki 43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.