UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d184970a652775995622f72d9b7b5f4b87f3209f65048db39bd3b0516cd263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jones of Oki , Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Oki | 41c | 34,470$14,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,131.57 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Jones | 59c | 19,569$11,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,023.36 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Oki | 49c | 14,968$7,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,370.76 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jones | 55c | 10,587$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.21 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Oki | 59c | 10,375$6,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,116.83 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Jones | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Oki | 42c | 8,940$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.83 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jones | 59c | 7,390$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.72 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Jones | 38c | 4,350$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,693.19 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Oki | 20c | 3,732$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.37 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed Oki | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Oki | 45c | 2,652$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.6 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jones | 47c | 2,438$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.27 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Jones | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Jones | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Jones | 31c | 2,023$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.93 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Jones | 4c | 1,750$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Jones | 65c | 1,583$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.28 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Oki | 42c | 1,534$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.28 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jones | 59c | 1,497$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.75 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Oki | 41c | 1,488$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.15 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Jones | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Oki | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Oki | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Jones | 57c | 977.47$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Jones | 55c | 939.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Jones | 65c | 923.41$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Jones | 58c | 863$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.46 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…2aa0backed Jones | 59c | 850$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed Oki | 43c | 815.47$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Oki | 41c | 777$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Oki | 43c | 692.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d8…012abacked Oki | 46c | 639.28$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.63 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jones | 57c | 529$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.47 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jones | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Oki | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Oki | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Jones | 55c | 499.89$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.77 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Jones | 56c | 486.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Jones | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jones | 66c | 358$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Jones | 59c | 341$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked Jones | 59c | 304.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Oki | 60c | 291.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jones | 56c | 270$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jones | 57c | 230.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Jones | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Oki | 44c | 210.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Oki | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jones | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Jones | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jones | 57c | 182.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.45 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Jones | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oki | 24c | 166.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Jones | 53c | 164.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Oki | 46c | 164.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…4c94backed Oki | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Jones | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Oki | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Oki | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Oki | 37c | 146.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jones | 59c | 127$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…f2dabacked Oki | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Oki | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Oki | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Jones | 59c | 110.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Oki | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Jones | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Jones | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…7f8cbacked Oki | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Oki | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad1…8c20backed Jones | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Jones | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Oki | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked Oki | 31c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Jones | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Jones | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…a211backed Oki | 43c | 87.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Jones | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Jones | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oki | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Oki | 43c | 57.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -12.6wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Oki | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Jones | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Oki | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Jones | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Jones | 35c | 48.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Jones | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Oki | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Oki | 56c | 45.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Jones | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Jones | 59c | 42.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Oki | 41c | 39.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Oki | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…8626backed Oki | 42c | 36.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Jones | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Jones | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…9adfbacked Jones | 57c | 34.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jones | 55c | 33.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Oki | 43c | 32.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.