UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinov

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8b2199a7bcef67e8d56da04ebfb02b2e3468db668146a3c6574c99a48bfd58

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Fakhretdinovof Gustafsson, Fakhretdinov
Resolved: Sep 6, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $76,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Fakhretdinov	48c	20,304$9,724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,580.44	195	44.6%87 W · 108 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Gustafsson	52c	17,780$9,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,245.03	148	57.4%85 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb277…0aaabacked Fakhretdinov	49c	11,242$5,473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,769.19	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Gustafsson	1c	7,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Gustafsson	51c	6,911$3,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,556.27	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Gustafsson	53c	6,071$3,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,217.83	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fakhretdinov	47c	4,500$2,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,385	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Fakhretdinov	46c	3,905$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,113.38	352	53.1%187 W · 165 L	+27.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Gustafsson	54c	3,879$2,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,084.78	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Fakhretdinov	75c	3,801$2,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$938.88	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Gustafsson	22c	3,434$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.48	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Gustafsson	8c	3,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+291.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Gustafsson	53c	3,000$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,589.99	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Fakhretdinov	47c	2,802$1,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,485.13	121	34.7%42 W · 79 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Gustafsson	55c	1,882$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.2	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Gustafsson	52c	1,569$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.57	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Gustafsson	52c	1,500$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$784.96	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-6.4wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Fakhretdinov	47c	1,406$661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$745.17	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Gustafsson	52c	1,250$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Fakhretdinov	45c	1,015$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.25	68	29.4%20 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Gustafsson	28c	1,000$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Gustafsson	50c	1,000$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Gustafsson	53c	950$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.5	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Fakhretdinov	47c	825.6$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.57	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff33…4aedbacked Fakhretdinov	50c	760.5$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Fakhretdinov	45c	635.08$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.99	221	44.3%98 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Fakhretdinov	47c	591.99$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.76	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Gustafsson	53c	567.1$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Gustafsson	53c	475.7$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.12	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Fakhretdinov	46c	431.08$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.47	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Gustafsson	53c	425.9$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.73	195	31.8%62 W · 133 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Fakhretdinov	47c	399.99$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Gustafsson	54c	395.07$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.95	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Gustafsson	53c	377$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.81	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Gustafsson	55c	365.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Gustafsson	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf296…5638backed Gustafsson	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	52cpaid	+50%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Fakhretdinov	46c	300$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Fakhretdinov	47c	299.97$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.98	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Fakhretdinov	47c	275.88$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.98	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf366…8185backed Fakhretdinov	49c	265.36$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Gustafsson	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Fakhretdinov	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Fakhretdinov	47c	212.59$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.59	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…82babacked Fakhretdinov	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff24…4ac9backed Fakhretdinov	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gustafsson	52c	199.98$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.99	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Fakhretdinov	49c	195.92$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.92	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Gustafsson	53c	189.33$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	115	45.2%52 W · 63 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed Gustafsson	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Fakhretdinov	49c	183.67$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.67	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Gustafsson	55c	180$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	131	60.3%79 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…23d9backed Gustafsson	53c	171.7$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Fakhretdinov	47c	161.22$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.45	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Fakhretdinov	49c	152.79$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.79	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Fakhretdinov	50c	150$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Fakhretdinov	48c	115.25$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.25	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Fakhretdinov	46c	110$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Fakhretdinov	49c	101.84$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.94	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gustafsson	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	210	31.9%67 W · 143 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Gustafsson	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Gustafsson	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Fakhretdinov	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Fakhretdinov	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Fakhretdinov	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.6wins	+0.15per pick	40cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Gustafsson	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Gustafsson	54c	83.7$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.2	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Fakhretdinov	48c	81.61$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.44	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x996b…7972backed Fakhretdinov	48c	75$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.15	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff5…89dbbacked Fakhretdinov	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Gustafsson	54c	61.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	136	47.8%65 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed Fakhretdinov	47c	59.99$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.7	43	60.5%26 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2063…1eedbacked Gustafsson	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Fakhretdinov	49c	51.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	151	39.7%60 W · 91 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…387abacked Gustafsson	53c	50.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.35per pick	45cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fakhretdinov	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	111	38.7%43 W · 68 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e1…e988backed Fakhretdinov	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1156…f8adbacked Gustafsson	54c	41.06$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Gustafsson	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Gustafsson	52c	39.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.79	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd32d…7d1cbacked Fakhretdinov	48c	39.69$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…780dbacked Gustafsson	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4045…3307backed Gustafsson	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Gustafsson	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	41.3%38 W · 54 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Gustafsson	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0e…d596backed Fakhretdinov	49c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Gustafsson	53c	28.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77b0…ba0bbacked Gustafsson	53c	24.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…0de1backed Fakhretdinov	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinovthis page
UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeeSola won
UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Fakhretdinov

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event