UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2066425f6cc11149f75ca7ef3aaf55f4176a8ef5dfc83971e19d1f701581df5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaof Sola, McKee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…de82backed McKee | 26c | 11,574$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.31 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed McKee | 44c | 10,823$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,761.9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Sola | 76c | 8,327$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.44 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sola | 56c | 8,311$4,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.03 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Sola | 56c | 4,400$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed McKee | 39c | 3,301$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.08 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sola | 56c | 2,701$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.26 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed McKee | 22c | 2,127$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sola | 61c | 2,116$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.78 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sola | 54c | 2,027$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.23 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Sola | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.53 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…3e05backed Sola | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed McKee | 44c | 1,402$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.18 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed McKee | 44c | 1,356$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.56 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked McKee | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Sola | 69c | 1,077$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed McKee | 45c | 986.31$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.59 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sola | 56c | 958.43$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.71 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed McKee | 33c | 918.23$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Sola | 55c | 909.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.48 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Sola | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked McKee | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked McKee | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sola | 57c | 652.83$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Sola | 57c | 619.29$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.29 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed McKee | 37c | 575.37$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…eb73backed McKee | 45c | 567.82$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed McKee | 44c | 550$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked McKee | 32c | 516$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.54 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sola | 54c | 388.06$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed McKee | 44c | 376.35$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed Sola | 56c | 354.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed McKee | 40c | 350$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked McKee | 45c | 339.55$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked McKee | 45c | 276.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Sola | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed McKee | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sola | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked McKee | 45c | 239.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed McKee | 45c | 225$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Sola | 57c | 182.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Sola | 56c | 177$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Sola | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Sola | 57c | 173.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed McKee | 43c | 171.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Sola | 56c | 170.32$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…e021backed McKee | 12c | 168.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…4c94backed Sola | 62c | 162.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked McKee | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…438abacked Sola | 55c | 138.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed McKee | 39c | 137.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Sola | 65c | 123.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked McKee | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Sola | 73c | 119.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked McKee | 42c | 108$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed McKee | 32c | 105.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Sola | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Sola | 57c | 96.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Sola | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed McKee | 37c | 90.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Sola | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Sola | 72c | 79.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed McKee | 29c | 74.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Sola | 57c | 73.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Sola | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked McKee | 47c | 70.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed McKee | 34c | 67.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed McKee | 48c | 66.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed McKee | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed McKee | 26c | 62.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed McKee | 44c | 59.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Sola | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed Sola | 64c | 54.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed McKee | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sola | 57c | 52.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed McKee | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Sola | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked McKee | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…0de1backed McKee | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Sola | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…dd87backed Sola | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked McKee | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed McKee | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked McKee | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Sola | 67c | 28.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…86a5backed Sola | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Sola | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…e852backed Sola | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…9122backed McKee | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…aebebacked Sola | 54c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -69%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKeethis page
- UFC Fight Night: Bannon vs. Hughes Hughes won
- UFC Fight Night: Bukauskas vs. Craig Bukauskas won
- UFC Fight Night: Gomis vs. RuchałaGomis won
- UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. FakhretdinovFakhretdinov won
- UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. BorralhoImavov won
- UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesJones won
- UFC Fight Night: Patterson vs. Waters Patterson won
- UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy Saint Denis won
- UFC Fight Night: Sy vs. RibeiroSy won
- UFC Fight Night: Tavares vs. BryczekBryczek won
- UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. DelijaDelija won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.