TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Sola vs. McKee

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Solaof Sola, McKee
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,623 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x41b4…de82backed McKee26c11,574$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.3110522.9%24 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed McKee44c10,823$4,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,761.93740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Sola76c8,327$6,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.4429151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Sola56c8,311$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.036841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Sola56c4,400$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93614857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed McKee39c3,301$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.0820954.1%113 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Sola56c2,701$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.266451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed McKee22c2,127$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.768544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sola61c2,116$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.7810443.3%45 W · 59 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sola54c2,027$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.2318453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…4982backed Sola57c1,761$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.531457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Sola66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5103655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed McKee44c1,402$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.187841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed McKee44c1,356$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5618145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked McKee46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0217850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Sola69c1,077$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0930964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed McKee45c986.31$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5911140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sola56c958.43$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7117752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed McKee33c918.23$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2913650%68 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Sola55c909.96$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4813044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Sola57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1915552.3%81 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked McKee44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002536%9 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked McKee44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Sola57c652.83$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.7223850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Sola57c619.29$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.296943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed McKee37c575.37$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82b…eb73backed McKee45c567.82$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed McKee44c550$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24232545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked McKee32c516$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.542924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sola54c388.06$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5133253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed McKee44c376.35$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.5939959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02dc…ef17backed Sola56c354.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.31258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed McKee40c350$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14148749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked McKee45c339.55$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked McKee45c276.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Sola56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.865362.3%33 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed McKee44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Sola54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1156746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0a6…d90cbacked McKee45c239.09$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed McKee45c225$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Sola57c182.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.613661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Sola56c177$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.886060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sola57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Sola57c173.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6815848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed McKee43c171.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.853545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Sola56c170.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3229848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e63…e021backed McKee12c168.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2766…4c94backed Sola62c162.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.351163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked McKee42c140$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.88932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…438abacked Sola55c138.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed McKee39c137.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2222342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Sola65c123.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.612055.8%67 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked McKee45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1466…23d9backed Sola73c119.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.181450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked McKee42c108$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.635736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x230a…2704backed McKee32c105.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.852240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Sola69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Sola57c96.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9610043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Sola54c95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.75455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed McKee37c90.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.646731.3%21 W · 46 L-9.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Sola60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Sola72c79.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0837754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed McKee29c74.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.648143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Sola57c73.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6813450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Sola55c70.91$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.919547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked McKee47c70.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed McKee34c67.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed McKee48c66.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.136036.7%22 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed McKee46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed McKee26c62.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed McKee44c59.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3816736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Sola55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5524649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d7…7504backed Sola64c54.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed McKee46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Sola57c52.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5822334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed McKee45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Sola56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6410040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked McKee45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4178…0de1backed McKee46c43.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Sola57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0915139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2878…dd87backed Sola57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094540%18 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked McKee34c32.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed McKee44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.256450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked McKee45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x142c…1098backed Sola67c28.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c8d…86a5backed Sola56c26.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Sola57c26.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3531855%175 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…e852backed Sola57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4029…9122backed McKee45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae47…aebebacked Sola54c20.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.36616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-69%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.