TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Delija

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Delijaof Tybura, Delija
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Tybura51c15,325$7,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,815.616841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Delija49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,630.2214857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Delija55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,500.329151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tybura45c9,306$4,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,187.581662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Delija48c7,370$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,832.223740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Delija50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00035253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Tybura16c4,689$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2470%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tybura50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Delija49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53030964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Tybura51c2,815$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.922842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Tybura52c2,261$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.376533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Tybura51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tybura49c1,909$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.718453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0a…9a0dbacked Delija50c1,860$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Tybura50c1,500$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.998751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Delija52c1,250$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60016247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Delija50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Delija53c1,185$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.612657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Tybura50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.013748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0466…d601backed Tybura50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Delija51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9917850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Tybura15c932$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.85012%6 W · 44 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+272.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Tybura49c912$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.883831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Delija49c810$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.139959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x285b…5231backed Tybura51c792.19$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Tybura46c701.61$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.078544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Tybura48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.178939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9a…64b1backed Delija50c597.88$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.941450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f05…c0b8backed Tybura49c581.56$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.963961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Delija47c550.75$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.919154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Tybura50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Tybura53c530$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.92045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Tybura52c517$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.848826.1%23 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Tybura48c508.28$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8122144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Tybura52c503.83$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.999228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Delija49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Tybura49c500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24328743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Delija49c499.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.996746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Tybura52c499.26$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.612541.6%52 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Tybura51c449.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9948749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Delija49c448.87$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9336745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Tybura48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tybura51c399.98$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9942042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Delija50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Delija49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.122045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tybura47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1413151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Delija51c291.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3718644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…dee1backed Tybura52c271.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Tybura49c242.92$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0353956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Tybura50c222$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8911545.2%52 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09f…4ad6backed Delija50c214.9$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.341855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Delija51c194.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3329848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Tybura52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015848.1%76 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Tybura52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013940.3%56 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Tybura52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Tybura52c184.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9851533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Delija50c180.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.156450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Tybura49c162.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.878940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Delija53c160$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Delija49c157.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2322342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Delija53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.510651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Delija50c149.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7533948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Delija51c148.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2911540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Delija51c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7552252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Tybura49c105$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.455455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Delija49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5137754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Tybura50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Delija52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1532431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Tybura45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436354%34 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tybura49c86.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3633253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0186…defdbacked Tybura52c77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.044355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+45.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x749e…8626backed Delija49c62.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.047859%46 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f2…51a1backed Delija50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Tybura45c56.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4910148.5%49 W · 52 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Delija49c51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0111138.7%43 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Tybura50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255632.1%18 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Delija51c46.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.758143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Delija49c41.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0324649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe65b…387abacked Tybura51c40.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.831010%1 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick45cpaid-86.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9083…d27bbacked Delija49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8215139.7%60 W · 91 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Delija49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.416736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Tybura52c37.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Delija49c34.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3913647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Delija51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Tybura45c32.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4315839.2%62 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Tybura52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…d596backed Delija51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.71560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f6…8160backed Tybura52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd50e…1969backed Tybura50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea92…2834backed Delija50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2d…4323backed Tybura52c22.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.716451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe615…6819backed Tybura50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015062.7%94 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Delija50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e94…db47backed Tybura50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011364.6%73 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Tybura51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.24940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b19…ac2ebacked Tybura50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe795…e6debacked Tybura50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf9d…c956backed Delija52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.622953.3%122 W · 107 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.