TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e94…db47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT11364.6%73 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.69
Will Magomed Ankalaev win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Magomed Zaynukov win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.74
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Benoît Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.47
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$54.74
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Mauricio Ruffy win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.65
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$21.24
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$40.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
Will PSV win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+46%+$9.2
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.71
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+71%+$21.29
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$21.08
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbertbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.89
Rotterdam Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$75.24
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$134.44
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$9.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$66.36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+59.6%+$8.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$15
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.