NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d9447da3219b2e43a6842b0903509f933bba4ecec24152a4d3f52bef4020af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Flames, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $924,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Flames | 42c | 198,039$83,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,719.71 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Flames | 45c | 178,904$80,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,494.02 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Jets | 55c | 137,103$75,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,696.22 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Jets | 60c | 119,570$72,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,293.51 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flames | 44c | 85,448$37,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,983.77 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 45c | 83,374$37,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,518.46 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Jets | 55c | 77,959$42,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,051.96 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Jets | 56c | 63,000$35,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,720 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Jets | 57c | 52,374$29,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,588.37 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Jets | 37c | 40,548$15,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,483.16 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flames | 44c | 38,709$17,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,211.14 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 44c | 31,500$13,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,859.94 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Jets | 55c | 25,181$13,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.85 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jets | 56c | 24,466$13,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,860.42 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Jets | 58c | 23,883$13,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,115.84 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Flames | 45c | 21,600$9,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,719.98 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Jets | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Jets | 57c | 19,326$10,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 44c | 18,500$8,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,140 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Jets | 58c | 17,290$10,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,188.33 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 44c | 16,721$7,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,361.01 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Jets | 55c | 16,575$9,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 54c | 14,688$7,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,878.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flames | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 56c | 11,554$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.92 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jets | 57c | 10,000$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Flames | 43c | 9,515$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.58 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 42c | 8,995$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.89 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Jets | 58c | 8,699$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,682.67 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Jets | 55c | 7,200$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flames | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Jets | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Jets | 55c | 3,698$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.18 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Jets | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Jets | 59c | 3,500$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jets | 77c | 3,331$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.64 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Jets | 55c | 3,199$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Jets | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Jets | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 39c | 2,702$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.6 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Flames | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 25c | 2,440$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Jets | 56c | 2,282$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.14 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Flames | 44c | 2,257$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Flames | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Flames | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Jets | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Jets | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Jets | 58c | 1,924$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.98 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Jets | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Flames | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Jets | 55c | 1,829$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.05 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Jets | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Jets | 55c | 1,737$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Flames | 23c | 1,664$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.96 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Jets | 55c | 1,591$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.91 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Flames | 42c | 1,580$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.45 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Flames | 44c | 1,521$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.24 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Jets | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 49c | 1,447$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.17 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Flames | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Jets | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Jets | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 55c | 1,199$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.15 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Flames | 15c | 1,150$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 60c | 1,078$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Jets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Jets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Jets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…4925backed Jets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 44c | 1,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Jets | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flames | 45c | 988.45$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.8 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Flames | 45c | 987$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Flames | 44c | 879$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.76 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…2e4ebacked Flames | 38c | 860$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets | 59c | 850$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flames | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Jets | 43c | 740.54$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Jets | 58c | 697.86$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…bab7backed Flames | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets | 58c | 681$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets | 67c | 666.01$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.22 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Jets | 55c | 655$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Jets | 38c | 612.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.38 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Flames | 45c | 600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…5f55backed Flames | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 19c | 558$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Flames | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Jets | 77c | 521.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.51 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Jets | 55c | 509.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Jets | 57c | 499.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Jets | 59c | 450$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 41c | 445.64$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets | 59c | 427.4$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Jetsthis page
- Flames vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.