TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe0a…e7aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.8
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$506
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$530
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$610
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$225
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$714.86
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$448.57
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+141.8%+$260.4
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$585.48
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.77
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$175
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$350
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$310
Oilers vs. Senatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$192
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$225
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Ducks vs. Blackhawksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.02
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$239.14
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$1,339.13
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+50.5%+$335.48
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+37%+$184.93
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Cameron Norriebacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$180
Pan Pacific Open: Wakana Sonobe vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$179.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$525
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$675
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.