TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canucksof Canucks, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$937,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,109,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $937,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 925 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Blackhawks43c192,490$83,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,473.359340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Canucks56c164,359$91,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,483.2714057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3657…6b14backed Canucks57c124,000$70,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,3204452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Canucks55c66,480$36,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,024.854949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks47c62,173$29,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,242.341,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Blackhawks45c55,536$25,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,024.5556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Blackhawks43c45,863$19,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,862.4536242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Canucks63c36,026$22,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,308.452254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Canucks22c30,130$6,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,510.3242552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Canucks55c30,000$16,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5005745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Blackhawks45c22,875$10,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,293.875644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Canucks56c22,099$12,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,68458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks37c21,869$8,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.3992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Blackhawks78c19,163$14,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,993.4614538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blackhawks44c14,298$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.9857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blackhawks37c12,480$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,590.140550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Blackhawks44c12,409$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,460.7141246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Canucks53c12,000$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6201877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Canucks54c11,111$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.0521850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Canucks55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.996737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Canucks55c7,251$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.3510356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blackhawks44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9911947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x745b…60a4backed Canucks58c6,897$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+73.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4106…ddcdbacked Blackhawks44c6,877$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blackhawks44c5,665$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.69242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks56c5,555$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.261,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Blackhawks61c5,354$3,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,275.158746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Canucks55c4,780$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.9214253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks69c4,271$2,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.931,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b71…0d81backed Blackhawks43c4,211$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bda…b66dbacked Canucks57c4,211$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Canucks55c4,200$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Canucks56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76028842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Blackhawks45c3,959$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.994450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Blackhawks45c3,822$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7203246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Canucks58c3,810$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.345253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Canucks54c3,600$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65612245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8d…1cdabacked Blackhawks47c3,592$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc2…3977backed Canucks53c3,585$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Canucks21c3,511$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.413333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed Canucks55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Canucks55c3,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Blackhawks45c3,352$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.0715646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blackhawks44c3,298$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.2469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…bc4cbacked Blackhawks45c3,095$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks55c3,075$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.033,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Canucks55c3,000$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47df…409cbacked Blackhawks45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x815e…2740backed Blackhawks45c2,931$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Blackhawks44c2,920$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Canucks25c2,768$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.542657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+66%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Blackhawks49c2,700$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32310343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Blackhawks46c2,665$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.767149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks43c2,646$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a4…13bdbacked Canucks56c2,617$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…f055backed Canucks56c2,598$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Blackhawks44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Canucks56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canucks54c2,288$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.262,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…025cbacked Blackhawks47c2,134$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Canucks56c2,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89066951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Canucks57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8608536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Canucks57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.993154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Canucks53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84620751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe0a…e7aabacked Canucks23c1,739$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d4d…794cbacked Canucks56c1,717$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.482245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c2…07babacked Canucks58c1,515$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.23250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a5…7c96backed Blackhawks44c1,515$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dca…96dbbacked Blackhawks44c1,500$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canucks56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked Canucks56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ef…7db1backed Canucks57c1,446$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.981442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks45c1,434$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.1364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…af84backed Canucks57c1,431$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272b…c543backed Blackhawks43c1,431$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa98d…fe62backed Canucks58c1,385$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a0…dd5bbacked Blackhawks43c1,385$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Canucks55c1,351$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.567149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canucks55c1,300$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks44c1,250$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55052050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Blackhawks45c1,224$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.7137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Blackhawks77c1,159$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.7317153.2%91 W · 80 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Canucks56c1,115$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.681030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blackhawks47c1,026$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.6945149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac6…1a89backed Blackhawks45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked Canucks56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d5…e1e2backed Blackhawks44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Blackhawks44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4404537.8%17 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Canucks53c968.13$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0242847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Blackhawks48c955.73$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.622045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Blackhawks36c943.81$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.157839.7%31 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Canucks40c915$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54914539.3%57 W · 88 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b4…24d8backed Blackhawks47c893.61$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Blackhawks65c878.37$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57236948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blackhawks45c842.52$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1328152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d43…ca9fbacked Canucks56c804.07$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9737…38a5backed Canucks57c789.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Blackhawks44c765$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.615448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.