TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb1d5…e1e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,431
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,663.36
Blues vs. Flyersbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$825.93
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,371.98
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,160.98
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$840
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$89.6
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,081
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,020
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$714
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,196
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$779
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$725.34
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$184.14
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$587.51
Jets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.74
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-82%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+107%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$652.76
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$427.35
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.76
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$500
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+177.9%+$1,728.14
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$756
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+112.8%+$1,430.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.51
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$34.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$349.86
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$370
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$720
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.