NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f976b156e1dd7b340539f09cbd02b431c1461203781e5ad2e38dcc2abfbf6a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Penguins, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $564,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $564,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 38c | 75,828$29,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,060.06 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Flyers | 62c | 48,387$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,387.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Penguins | 40c | 40,584$16,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,227.92 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Flyers | 60c | 32,074$19,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,829.74 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Penguins | 40c | 15,560$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.47 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.97 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Flyers | 60c | 13,384$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.23 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 11c | 12,224$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.22 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 39c | 10,741$4,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.79 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins | 1c | 10,163$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Flyers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Penguins | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Flyers | 61c | 9,791$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.48 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Flyers | 61c | 9,729$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.07 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Penguins | 21c | 9,374$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…7218backed Flyers | 79c | 9,374$7,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 60c | 8,022$4,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.66 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers | 60c | 7,566$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.48 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Penguins | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 59c | 6,714$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.62 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers | 61c | 6,205$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flyers | 61c | 5,314$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.04 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f5…e1e7backed Flyers | 59c | 5,086$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 60c | 5,010$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.12 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 70c | 4,754$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 3c | 4,634$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 39c | 4,568$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.52 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Penguins | 38c | 4,050$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 71c | 4,024$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.92 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 60c | 3,660$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flyers | 63c | 3,404$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.22 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Flyers | 61c | 3,201$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…0f37backed Penguins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Flyers | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers | 60c | 2,994$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.34 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Flyers | 51c | 2,927$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.7 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…9567backed Flyers | 59c | 2,881$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Flyers | 53c | 2,801$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.37 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.97 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Penguins | 18c | 2,797$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.52 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Flyers | 58c | 2,629$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 39c | 2,628$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.73 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Penguins | 33c | 2,359$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.29 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Flyers | 61c | 2,098$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flyers | 61c | 2,050$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.49 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Flyers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3571backed Penguins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Penguins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Penguins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Flyers | 60c | 1,944$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.06 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Penguins | 40c | 1,886$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.06 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Flyers | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…9466backed Penguins | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…6d9fbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,784$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Flyers | 66c | 1,741$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.93 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…47fcbacked Penguins | 42c | 1,724$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Penguins | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Flyers | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Flyers | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…58a6backed Penguins | 42c | 1,576$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Penguins | 40c | 1,559$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.55 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 40c | 1,555$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.45 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Flyers | 55c | 1,552$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Flyers | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Flyers | 58c | 1,456$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.23 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.98 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Penguins | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f9…58c0backed Flyers | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Penguins | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 50c | 1,224$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.37 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 21c | 1,170$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Flyers | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 2c | 1,143$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 60c | 1,093$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 66c | 1,073$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Penguins | 41c | 1,047$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Penguins | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Penguins | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Flyers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Penguins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 16c | 999.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Penguins | 25c | 937.14$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.34 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Penguins | 39c | 924$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…7674backed Penguins | 60c | 912.75$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…4152backed Penguins | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…8bc9backed Penguins | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc787…4702backed Flyers | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…4b3abacked Flyers | 59c | 860$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Flyers | 55c | 857.33$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.82 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Penguins | 41c | 857$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Flyers | 56c | 847.84$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.26 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Flyers | 77c | 845.39$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…22c6backed Flyers | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Flyers | 54c | 836.78$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.39 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Flyersthis page
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.