TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9e6…025b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17,146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16,473.75
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12,113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$5,442.05
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23,903.45
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17,500
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31,756Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+113.9%+$36,166.36
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25,834Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+109%+$28,165.87
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21,799Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21,799.21
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17,655.32
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26,226Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.1%+$14,720.04
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18,215Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+142.2%+$25,910.3
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20,000
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47,500
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,000
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+125.7%+$6,509.87
Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31,173.4
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$6,750
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33,640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$24,359.99
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13,613.04
Ducks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31,265.39
Capitals vs. Jets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21,018Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+74.4%+$15,636.65
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$7,500
Panthers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+43.8%+$18,830.75
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+196.7%+$13,770.86
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$18,387.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11,100
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24,835
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$102,500
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16,515.44
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$62,173.08
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24,953Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14,041.48
Lions vs. Rams: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39,030Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$27,122.82
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35,477Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+91.2%+$32,344.89
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14,890
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54,303Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29%+$15,753.18
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38,944Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18,342.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16,960.8
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$8,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$8,494.03
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$30,750
Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39,827Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35,318.67
Spread: Drexel Dragons (-5.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38,398Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.7%+$35,591.63
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+188.1%+$9,405.74
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,100
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+101.3%+$11,380.5
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,832Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+57.2%+$3,908.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14,671.83
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+39.7%+$19,057.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$66,809Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+46.1%+$30,807.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$42,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.